Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 4/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Miami Marlins

Date: Monday, April 21, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-145) Miami (+125)

The Cincinnati Reds (9-10) are on their way to loanDepot park on Monday where they will attempt to defeat the Miami Marlins (8-10). The odds on this game have Cincinnati at -145 and Miami is priced at +125. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Nick Martinez and Max Meyer.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 16th in the league. They have earned a total of 80 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .289. The Reds have accrued 24 doubles as a unit and have hit 17 balls out of the park. They have accrued 77 RBI's and 130 base knocks on the campaign, and their team batting average is at .213. Cincinnati is slugging .337 and have struck out 162 times, while taking a walk on 57 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.03. Reds pitchers have relinquished 21 long balls and 71 runs (5th in baseball). Cincinnati has yielded 122 base knocks (6.5 per 9 innings) and also 58 earned runs. The Reds are sitting with a team ERA of 3.08 on the campaign (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 150 hitters. They have walked 53 batters and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a unit for the year.

The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 62.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 26 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 27 runners for the year with 25.9% of those runners ended up scoring. Reds relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 18 times as well as having 20 appearances in high leverage situations. The Reds have dispatched 66 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 17 holds for the year (3rd in the league). They have earned 5 saves so far this year and have blown 3 of their 8 chances to get a save.

The Chicago White Sox have notched a total of 508 putouts this year, in addition to 136 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate is at .979 which is 25th in MLB, and have a total of 7 double plays. The Reds have converted 75.8% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,524 innings, which has them sitting at 1st in baseball.

Martinez (37-48 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.08 while facing 3,397 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 800 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 254 free passes. His ERA is 4.14 (366 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.326. Martinez has thrown 795 innings and is sitting with 573 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Marlins have a SLG% of .373 and they score 4.17 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have 33 doubles, while getting a free base 63 times and earning 75 runs. Miami has hit 12 home runs for the year as well as 70 RBIs. They have struck out on 175 occasions (7th in MLB) and have tallied 158 base knocks. The Miami Marlins have compiled a team OBP of .327 in addition to a team batting average of .255 on the year.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.415 in addition to having a FIP of 4.76 as a team for the season. They rank 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 149. The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 93 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 4.61 (84 earned runs yielded). They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.70 (140 strikeouts vs 83 walks). They have conceded 23 homers and they relinquish 5.10 runs per 9 innings (27th in the league).

Miami relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 37.5% out of 32 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 23 times in high leverage situations in addition to 23 occasions with runners on. With 17 save situations, the Marlins have earned 13 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are ranked 24th in baseball holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have sent 61 relief pitchers onto the field for the year. Miami has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 4 save opportunities and they have walked away with 2 saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 13 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .984 (19th in MLB). The Marlins have accrued 173 assists, 11 errors and have earned a total of 492 putouts for the year. Out of their 1,476 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.2% (12th in the majors).

Thus far in his career, Meyer has allowed 89 base hits while totaling 79 K's in 87 innings. Meyer (4-8 career win-loss record) has a 4.97 earned run average while surrendering 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 48 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.345 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.82 and he has gone up against 372 opposing hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-145)

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