Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/20/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Sunday, April 20, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-132) Baltimore (+110)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is where the Baltimore Orioles (8-10) will attempt to beat the Cincinnati Reds (9-10) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Reds at -132 and the Orioles open at +110. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Nick Lodolo and Charlie Morton.

As a unit, the Cincinnati Reds are earning 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 16th in MLB. They have earned 80 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .289. The Reds have accounted for 24 doubles as a team and have hit 17 baseballs out of the park. They have 77 runs batted in as well as 130 hits this year, and their batting average comes in at .213. Cincinnati has a slugging rate of .337 and have been called out on strikes 162 times, while drawing a walk on 57 occasions.

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The Reds have a team earned run average of 3.08 for the season (3rd in MLB), and their staff has rung up 150 hitters. Reds pitchers have allowed 21 home runs and 71 total runs (5th in MLB). They have walked 53 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.83 as a unit this season. Cincinnati has conceded 122 base knocks (6.5 per 9 innings) and 58 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.83 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.03.

The Reds have sent 66 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 27 runners so far this year with 25.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have compiled 5 saves over the course of the season and have blown 3 of their 8 save chances. The Reds relief pitchers have a save rate of 62.5% and have come into the game in 26 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 17 holds on the year (3rd in MLB). Reds relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 18 times in addition to having 20 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago White Sox have a tally of 508 putouts this season, in addition to 136 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .979 which has them ranked 25th in baseball, and have a total of 7 double plays. The Reds have converted 75.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,524 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 1st in pro baseball.

Lodolo has taken the hill for 276 frames and has 314 punch outs during his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 4.34 (133 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.253. He has given up 258 base knocks (8.4 hits per 9 innings) with 88 free passes. Lodolo (17-15 win-loss mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.27 while he has faced 1,192 batters in the major leagues.

The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .403 and they score 4.67 runs per contest (7th in the league). They have tallied 24 two-baggers, while getting a free base 52 times and putting up 84 runs. Baltimore has hit 23 home runs on the year to go along with 77 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 146 occasions (23rd in MLB) and have tallied 137 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles hold a team on-base percentage of .303 as well as a batting average of .234 on the campaign.

The Baltimore pitching staff have allowed 81 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.30 (75 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 19 homers and they relinquish 4.64 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.395 in addition to having a FIP of 4.11 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 7.20 (125 strikeouts vs 53 bases on balls). They are sitting at 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 166.

With 15 save situations, the Orioles have 12 holds and also 1 blown save. Baltimore has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 2 save opportunities and they have converted 1 save. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 13 times in high leverage situations and also on 20 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 22.2% of 27 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 63 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in MLB). The Orioles have accrued 164 assists, 8 errors and have a tally of 471 putouts for the year. In their 1,413 innings on the diamond, the Orioles hold a efficiency on defense of 67.7% (25th in pro baseball).

Morton (138-127 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.06 ERA while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.59 and he has faced 9,191 hitters in his career. He has surrendered a total of 966 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.312 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. So far in his career, Morton has conceded 2,015 base hits while he has accumulated 2,066 strikeouts in 2,143 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+110)

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