Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Cincinnati Reds vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Cincinnati (-144) Baltimore (+120)

The Cincinnati Reds (9-9) are on their way to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday where they will play the Baltimore Orioles (7-10). The moneyline on this game has Cincinnati at -144 and Baltimore is coming in at +120. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Hunter Greene and Charlie Morton.

As a squad, the Cincinnati Reds are notching 4.1 runs/g, which ranks them 18th in MLB. They have accounted for 73 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .284. The Reds have tallied 23 doubles as a team and have knocked 15 balls out of the park. They have recorded 70 runs batted in and 120 base knocks so far this season, while their batting average is sitting at .210. Cincinnati owns a slugging percentage of .329 and have been rung up 155 times, while taking a walk on 51 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.07 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 0.97. Reds pitchers have conceded 18 home runs and 60 runs in total (3rd in MLB). Cincinnati has yielded 109 base knocks (6.2 per 9 innings) and also 53 earned runs. The Reds hold a team earned run average of 2.99 on the campaign (3rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 141 batters. They have walked 46 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.63 as a squad so far this year.

The Reds have dispatched 59 relievers to the mound for the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 23 base runners so far this season and 26.1% of them earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 5 saves over the course of the season and have blown 2 out of their 7 save opportunities. The Reds relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 71.4% and has come into the game in 25 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 17 holds this season (3rd in baseball). Reds pitchers have entered the game with runners on 15 times as well as having 17 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Chicago White Sox have earned 478 putouts on the campaign, as well as 130 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 19th in baseball, and have a total of 7 double plays. The Reds have converted 76.9% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,434 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 1st in baseball.

Greene has taken the mound for 415 innings and has totaled 516 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.71 (171 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.156. He has given up 323 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 157 free passes. Greene (20-26 career record) has a FIP of 3.65 and he has faced 1,739 batters in the major leagues.

The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .392 and they have an average of 4.59 runs per game (9th in MLB). They have put up 23 doubles, while getting a free base 48 times as well as recording 78 runs. Baltimore has knocked in 20 home runs so far this year to go along with 71 runs batted in. They have struck out on 139 occasions (23rd in the league) and have earned a total of 130 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have accounted for an OBP of .300 as well as a batting average of .233 this year.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.426 and have a FIP of 4.08 as a unit on the season. They come in at 25th in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 159. The Baltimore pitching staff have given up 79 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 4.44 (73 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.20 (118 strikeouts vs 52 bases on balls). They have allowed 17 homers and they allow 4.80 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Baltimore bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 23.1% out of 26 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 13 times in high leverage situations and on 19 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 15 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 12 holds in addition to 1 blown save. They rank 22nd in the league holding a save percentage of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 60 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. Baltimore has had relief pitchers take the mound in 2 save chances and they have earned 1 save.

In their 1,332 innings on the field, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.1% (26th in the majors). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (10th in MLB). The Orioles have recorded 155 assists, 8 errors and have earned 444 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Morton has allowed 2,015 hits while earning 2,066 punch outs in 2,143 frames. He has allowed 966 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.312 and having a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.59 and he has faced 9,191 batters thus far in his career. Morton (138-127 career mark) has earned a 4.06 earned run average and has conceded 8.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+120)

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