Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 4/19/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago White Sox vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, April 19, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+220) Boston (-275)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (10-10) will take on the Chicago White Sox (4-13) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the White Sox at +220 and the Red Sox are sitting at -275. The over/under is 8. The expected starting pitchers will be Shane Smith and Garrett Crochet.

Chicago has a slugging percentage of .306 and have struck out 144 times, while drawing a walk on 55 occasions. They have accounted for 52 runs batted in in addition to 108 base knocks on the season, and their batting average is at .200. The White Sox have recorded 19 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 12 balls out of the park. They have a total of 54 runs scored while having a team on-base percentage of .273. As a team, the Chicago White Sox are knocking in 3.2 runs per game, which is 28th in MLB.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 1.95 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.31. White Sox pitchers have allowed 17 home runs and 68 total runs (7th in baseball). Chicago has surrendered 126 base hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 66 earned runs. The White Sox have a team earned run average of 4.03 over the course of the season (16th in the league), and the staff has struck out 129 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 66 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.35 as a squad for the season.

The White Sox relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 0.0% and has come into the game in 9 save situations. The relievers have inherited 25 base runners over the course of the season with 40.0% of them ended up scoring. White Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 15 times in addition to having 13 appearances in high leverage situations. The White Sox have dispatched 56 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relievers are sitting with 7 holds on the season (26th in baseball). They have blown both of their save opportunities.

The Chicago Cubs have earned 442 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 148 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .983 which has them ranked 21st in pro baseball, and they have turned 15 double plays. The White Sox have transformed 71.7% of balls in play into outs out of 1,326 innings on the field, ranking them 11th in professional baseball.

Smith has pitched in 17 innings and has racked up 12 K's so far in his MLB career. Smith (0-1 career record) holds a FIP of 2.06 while facing 68 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 2.09 (4 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.930. He has given up 9 hits (4.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 7 free passes.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .382 and they score 4.30 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have hit 38 two-baggers, while walking 71 times as well as notching 86 runs. Boston has 17 long balls for the season as well as 82 RBIs. They have been rung up on 197 occasions (1st in baseball) and have totaled 171 base knocks. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a team batting average of .247 this season.

The Boston pitching staff have given up 97 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.17 (82 earned runs given up). They have conceded 16 homers and they surrender 4.93 runs per 9 innings (24th in the league). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.327 with a FIP of 3.43 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (166 strikeouts against 58 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 177.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 50.0% out of 24 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations and on 18 occasions with runners on base. With 15 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 5 holds and also 3 blown saves. They sit at 9th in the league with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have dispatched 62 bullpen pitchers to the hill so far this season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have earned 7 saves.

Out of their 1,596 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 65.7% (30th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have turned 23 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .973 (30th in pro baseball). The Red Sox have racked up 183 assists, 20 errors and have notched a total of 532 putouts on the campaign.

During his MLB career, Crochet has surrendered 195 hits while he has earned 322 strikeouts in 245 frames. Crochet (11-20 career record) has a 3.09 earned run average while surrendering 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 84 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.127 and a FIP of 3.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.98 and he has faced 1,010 hitters in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Chicago (+220)

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