Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 4/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs San Diego Padres

Date: Monday, April 14, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+110) San Diego (-132)

The Chicago Cubs (9-6) are en route to Petco Park on Monday where they will attempt to beat the San Diego Padres (10-3). The line on this matchup has Chicago at +110 and San Diego is at -132. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Jameson Taillon and Dylan Cease.

As a unit, the Chicago Cubs are compiling 6.4 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in the league. They have racked up 96 runs while having a team OBP of .350. The Cubs have accrued 25 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 18 baseballs out of the park. They have 93 runs batted in as well as 130 hits for the year, and their team batting average is at .250. Chicago has a slugging % of .413 and have been called out on strikes 117 times, while taking a walk on 76 occasions.

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The Cubs are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.47 on the season (24th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 111 batters. Cubs pitchers have given up 18 home runs and 68 runs (26th in baseball). They have walked 53 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.37 as a squad over the course of the season. Chicago has given up 136 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and also 66 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.09 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.42.

The Cubs relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 57.1% and has stepped onto the mound in 18 save situations. The relievers have inherited 10 base runners over the course of the season and 40.0% of those runners crossed the plate. Cubs pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 7 times in addition to having 7 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cubs have dispatched 45 relief pitchers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have racked up 11 holds on the campaign (4th in the league). They have compiled 4 saves this season and have missed out on 3 out of their 7 save opportunities.

The Boston Red Sox have earned a total of 399 putouts on the year, as well as 133 assists and 6 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which has them sitting 7th in pro baseball, and they have turned 12 double plays. The Cubs have turned 68.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 1,197 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 23rd in pro baseball.

Taillon has taken the mound for 1,123 innings and has accounted for 989 punch outs during his MLB career. Taillon (72-54 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.87 and he has gone up against 4,680 batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.93 (490 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.212. He has allowed 1,090 base knocks (8.7 hits per 9 innings) with 271 walks.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated an on-base percentage of .348 as well as a batting average of .286 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 86 occasions (27th in MLB) and have accounted for 124 hits. San Diego has accumulated 11 HRs on the year to go along with 52 runs batted in. The Padres hold a slugging % of .413 and they are earning 4.38 runs per contest (13th in MLB). They have 22 two-baggers, while getting a free base 41 times as well as putting up 57 runs.

The San Diego pitching staff have allowed 43 runs for the season while having an ERA of 3.32 (42 earned runs conceded). They have yielded 11 home runs and they yield 3.39 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.184 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.88 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (107 strikeouts against 54 walks). They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 81.

San Diego has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 7 save opportunities and they have earned 7 saves. They rank 4th in the league with a save rate of 100.0%, and they have sent 48 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 20 times in high leverage situations in addition to 11 occasions with base runners. San Diego bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.8% out of 18 inherited runners. With 19 save situations, the Padres have earned 12 holds in addition to no blown saves.

The San Diego Padres have turned 11 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (18th in professional baseball). The Padres have racked up 101 assists, 7 errors and have accounted for 342 putouts so far this year. Out of their 1,026 innings on the field, the Padres have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 74.8% (3rd in baseball).

In his MLB career, Cease has allowed 719 hits while totaling 1,034 strikeouts in 861 innings pitched. Cease (58-47 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 3.82 earned run average while allowing 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 366 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.259 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and he has faced 3,648 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+110)

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