Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Chicago Cubs vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Chicago (+110) Arizona (-132)

The Arizona Diamondbacks (89-73 last season) will take on the Chicago Cubs (83-79 last year) at Chase Field on Thursday. The line on this matchup has Chicago at +110 and Arizona is priced at -132. The total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Justin Steele and Zac Gallen.

Chicago had a slugging percentage of .393 and struck out 1,362 times, while being walked on 546 occasions. They accounted for 696 runs batted in and 1,318 base knocks for the prior year, and their team batting average finished at .242. The Cubs hit 253 doubles as a squad and hit 170 baseballs out of the park. They earned 736 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .317. As a squad, the Chicago Cubs scored 4.5 runs per game, which had them at 12th in MLB.

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The Cubs compiled a team ERA of 3.78 for the prior year (10th in the league), and they rung up 1,348 batters. Cubs pitchers allowed 181 home runs in addition to 669 total runs (10th in the league). They walked 485 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 4.04 as a team over the course of the prior season. Chicago conceded 1,302 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 602 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.78 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.25.

Cubs relief pitchers entered the game with players on base 141 times in addition to having 170 contests in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers notched 80 holds last year (21st in the league). The Cubs relievers accumulated a save rate of 59.4% and stepped onto the hill in 145 save situations. They earned 38 saves for the prior year and blew 26 out of their 64 save chances. The bullpen inherited 217 runners for the previous season with 31.8% of those runners ended up scoring. The Cubs sent 496 relievers to the mound for the prior year.

The Chicago Cubs had a total of 4,297 putouts last season, in addition to 1,349 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .987 which put them in 7th in professional baseball, and accumulated 91 double plays. The Cubs transformed 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of 12,891 innings on the field, which ranked them 8th in pro baseball.

Steele has taken the ball for 484 frames and has tallied 496 strikeouts in his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.24 (174 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.217. He has surrendered 439 base knocks (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 150 free passes. Steele (29-21 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.19 and he has gone up against 2,031 opposing batters in the majors.

The Diamondbacks had a SLG% of .440 and they were recording 5.47 runs per game (1st in baseball). They tallied 271 two-baggers, while taking a walk 569 times as well as scoring 886 runs. Arizona tallied 211 home runs in the previous season and 845 runs batted in. They struck out on 1,265 instances (24th in the league) and earned a total of 1,452 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks held an OBP of .337 as well as a team batting average of .263 over the course of last season.

The Diamondbacks held a team WHIP of 1.351 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.09 as a pitching staff over the course of last year. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 8.20 (1,313 strikeouts vs 481 free passes). They were sitting at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,468. They gave up 181 dingers and they allowed 4.91 runs per 9 innings (26th in baseball). The Arizona pitching staff allowed 788 runs over the course of last season while holding a team ERA of 4.62 (741 earned runs conceded).

Arizona relief pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 39.0% out of their 218 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 168 times in high leverage situations and on 152 occasions with runners on. Wrapping up the year with 153 save situations, the Diamondbacks compiled 87 holds and also 26 blown saves. They were sitting at 25th in baseball holding a save percentage of 59.4%, and they dispatched 536 relief pitchers to the hill last season. Arizona called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the hill in 64 save chances and they walked away with 38 saves.

The Arizona Diamondbacks had 138 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .989 (1st in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks accrued 1,456 assists, 62 errors and accumulated 4,330 putouts during the previous year. Out of their 12,990 innings on the diamond, the Diamondbacks finished with a defensive efficiency of 68.2% (27th in the majors).

Gallen (53-37 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 3.29 earned run average while conceding 7.4 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.43 and he has faced 3,329 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 298 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.135 and a FIP of 3.2. In his pro baseball career, Gallen has conceded 667 hits and he has 885 K's in 815 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Arizona (-132) and under 9 runs

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