Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 4/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Tuesday, April 29, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-160) Toronto (+132)

The Toronto Blue Jays (13-15) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (16-14) at Rogers Centre on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -160 and the Blue Jays open at +132. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Garrett Crochet and Bowden Francis.

Boston has a slugging percentage of .411 and have been rung up 277 times, while being walked on 119 occasions. They have tallied 140 RBI's as well as 258 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is sitting at .249. The Red Sox have recorded 60 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 33 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 148 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .331. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 4.9 runs per outing, which puts them at 6th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.32. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 25 home runs and 139 runs (26th in the league). Boston has conceded 257 hits (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 120 earned runs. The Red Sox have compiled a team earned run average of 4.04 on the season (15th in the league), and the staff has struck out 260 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 95 opposing players and their FIP is 3.56 as a team on the year.

The Red Sox relievers have earned a save percentage of 61.5% and stepped onto the hill in 23 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 30 runners so far this year and 50.0% of them ended up scoring. Red Sox pitchers have entered the game with players on base 22 times as well as having 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 92 relievers to the mound on the campaign. The relief pitchers have accumulated 9 holds this season (26th in the league). They have compiled 8 saves for the year and have not converted 5 of their 13 save opportunities.

The Red Sox have transformed 66.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of 2,406 innings on the field, which ranks them 28th in baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 802 putouts this year, as well as 274 assists and 28 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .975 which is 30th in baseball, and have accumulated 28 double plays.

Crochet has taken the hill for 256 innings and has accounted for 338 K's in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.09 (88 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.141. He has surrendered 204 base knocks (7.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 88 walks. Crochet (11-21 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.05 while going up against 1,059 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues.

The Blue Jays have a team slugging percentage of .344 and they are recording 3.39 runs per contest (27th in baseball). They have 50 doubles, while walking 89 times as well as scoring 95 runs. Toronto has 15 home runs this year and 90 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 200 occasions (29th in MLB) and have notched a total of 224 hits. The Toronto Blue Jays have recorded an on-base percentage of .312 and a batting average of .240 this year.

The Toronto pitching staff have allowed 122 runs on the year while having a team ERA of 4.07 (113 earned runs yielded). They have surrendered 37 home runs and they give up 4.39 runs per 9 innings (14th in the league). The Blue Jays hold a team WHIP of 1.232 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.13 as a team for the year. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.30 (259 strikeouts against 87 walks). They are sitting at 15th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 221.

Toronto relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 19.5% out of their 41 inherited base runners. Their relievers have come in 22 times in high leverage situations and on 33 occasions with base runners. With 30 save situations, the Blue Jays have 17 holds in addition to 5 blown saves. They sit at 21st in the league with a save percentage of 61.5%, and they have sent 96 relievers onto the field this year. Toronto has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 13 save chances and they have come away with 8 saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays have turned 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Blue Jays have recorded 220 assists, 15 errors and have 751 putouts for the season. In 2,253 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (13th in pro baseball).

Francis (11-8 career mark) is the owner of a 3.01 ERA and has conceded 6.5 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.85 and he has gone up against 660 hitters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 56 ER's while holding a WHIP of 0.956 and a FIP of 3.0. In his pro baseball career, Francis has surrendered 121 base knocks and he has 150 strikeouts in 167 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+132)

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