Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-122) Texas (+102)

Globe Life Field is where the Texas Rangers (78-84 last season) will try to beat the Boston Red Sox (81-81 last year) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at -122 while the Rangers are sitting at +102. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Richard Fitts and Jacob deGrom.

Boston had a slugging percentage of .423 and struck out 1,570 times, while being walked on 493 occasions. They amassed 724 RBI's and 1,404 hits over the course of last year, while their team batting average sat at .252. The Red Sox accounted for 311 doubles as a squad and hit 194 baseballs out of the stadium. They earned 751 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox notched 4.6 runs per game, which had them at 9th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.93 and the pitching staff earned a collective WHIP of 1.26. Red Sox pitchers relinquished 189 long balls and 747 runs (23rd in the league). Boston allowed 1,363 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 652 earned runs. The Red Sox compiled a team earned run average of 4.04 in the previous season (17th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,353 hitters. They walked 461 opposing hitters and their FIP was 4.10 as a team in the previous season.

Red Sox relief pitchers came into the game with runners on 164 times and also had 192 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers accumulated 87 holds over the course of the prior season (12th in baseball). The Red Sox relief pitchers accumulated a save rate of 56.3% and stepped onto the mound in 162 save situations. They accumulated 40 saves last season and did not convert 31 out of their 71 save opportunities. The relief pitchers inherited 229 base runners for the previous season and 34.5% of them crossed the plate. The Red Sox dispatched 534 relief pitchers to the mound in the prior season.

The Boston Red Sox accounted for 4,358 putouts over the course of last season, as well as 1,449 assists and 115 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .981 which ranked 29th in professional baseball, and accumulated 117 double plays. The Red Sox converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 13,074 innings, which had them ranked 20th in pro baseball.

Fitts (0-1 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 1.76 while going up against 85 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has allowed 19 base hits (8.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 7 walks. His ERA is 1.78 (4 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.287. Fitts has taken the ball for 20 frames and has earned 9 punch outs during his MLB career.

The Rangers held a team SLG% of .380 and they had an average of 4.22 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They put up 220 two-baggers, while walking 490 times as well as putting up 683 runs. Texas hit 176 home runs in the previous season and 652 RBIs. They struck out on 1,284 occasions (23rd in the league) and had 1,302 base hits. The Texas Rangers accounted for a team on-base percentage of .305 as well as a team batting average of .238 during the previous year.

The Rangers had a team WHIP of 1.298 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.32 as a pitching staff over the course of the prior season. They finished at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,323. The Texas pitching staff surrendered 738 runs last season while having an ERA of 4.35 (690 earned runs yielded). Their strikeout to walk ratio was 8.60 (1,371 strikeouts against 530 free passes). They gave up 198 long balls and they relinquished 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league).

Texas relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.9% out of their 277 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers stepped onto the mound 178 times in high leverage situations and on 174 occasions with runners on. Finishing with 135 save situations, the Rangers amassed 75 holds and 19 blown saves. They were ranked 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they sent 483 relief pitchers onto the diamond last year. Texas had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 57 save opportunities and they recorded 38 saves.

The Texas Rangers had 106 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in baseball). The Rangers recorded 1,366 assists, 73 errors and a tally of 4,283 putouts in the prior season. Out of their 12,849 innings on the field, the Rangers held a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball).

So far in his career, deGrom has conceded 1,051 base hits and he has 1,666 punch outs in 1,367 innings. He has given up 383 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 0.994 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.41 and he has gone up against 5,376 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. deGrom (84-57 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 2.52 earned run average while allowing 6.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+102)

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