Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 3/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-145) Texas (+125)

Globe Life Field is where the Texas Rangers (78-84 last season) will play the Boston Red Sox (81-81 last year) on Saturday. The line on this contest has Boston at -145 and Texas is priced at +125. The total has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Walker Buehler and Tyler Mahle.

The Red Sox compiled 311 doubles as a unit and hit 194 baseballs out of the park. Boston had a slugging percentage of .423 and struck out 1,570 times, while drawing a walk on 493 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox compiled 4.6 runs per game, which was 9th in baseball. They accrued 724 RBI's in addition to 1,404 base knocks last season, while their team batting average was .252. They notched a total of 751 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319.

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The Red Sox had a team earned run average of 4.04 over the course of the prior season (17th in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,353 hitters. Red Sox pitchers gave up 189 home runs in addition to 747 runs (23rd in baseball). They walked 461 players from the other team and their FIP finished at 4.10 as a team over the course of last year. Boston surrendered 1,363 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 652 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio was 2.93 and the pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.26.

The Red Sox relief pitchers earned a save percentage of 56.3% and entered the game in 162 save situations. The relievers inherited 229 base runners over the course of the prior season with 34.5% of those runners crossed home plate. Red Sox pitchers went to the mound with runners on 164 times in addition to having 192 contests in high leverage situations. The Red Sox had dispatched 534 relievers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The relief pitchers accumulated 87 holds in the prior season (12th in the league). They had 40 saves for the prior year and blew 31 out of their 71 chances to get a save.

The Red Sox converted 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,074 innings on the diamond, which had them ranked 20th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox accounted for 4,358 putouts during the previous year, in addition to 1,449 assists and 115 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .981 which was 29th in MLB, and accumulated 117 double plays.

Buehler has taken the ball for 713 innings and has 754 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 3.27 (259 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.091. He has given up 588 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 190 walks. Buehler (47-22 career win-loss mark) has a FIP of 3.22 while he has faced 2,902 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Rangers held a team SLG% of .380 and they were earning 4.22 runs per game (18th in the league). They had 220 doubles, while getting a free base 490 times and scoring 683 runs. Texas accumulated 176 HRs for the previous season and 652 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 1,284 instances (23rd in MLB) and had 1,302 base knocks. The Texas Rangers held an OBP of .305 and a batting average of .238 during the previous year.

The Rangers finished with a team WHIP of 1.298 and had a FIP of 4.32 as a unit for the prior year. They finished at 17th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,323. The Texas pitching staff allowed 738 runs last season while holding a team ERA of 4.35 (690 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio was 8.60 (1,371 strikeouts against 530 walks). They surrendered 198 home runs and they conceded 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

Texas had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 57 save opportunities and they tallied 38 saves. They were ranked 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they sent 483 bullpen pitchers to the mound last season. Their bullpen pitchers came in 178 times in high leverage situations and on 174 occasions with runners on. Texas bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of their 277 inherited base runners. Finishing with 135 save situations, the Rangers accumulated 75 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

In 12,849 innings played, the Rangers held a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (14th in pro baseball). The Texas Rangers turned 106 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .987 (5th in baseball). The Rangers recorded 1,366 assists, 73 errors and earned a total of 4,283 putouts for the prior year.

Mahle (33-42 mark in his career) is the owner of a 4.32 earned run average while allowing 8.5 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.92 and he has gone up against 2,776 batters in his career. He has allowed 311 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 4.3. So far in his career, Mahle has given up 612 base hits while totaling 687 punch outs in 648 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+125)

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