Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 3/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-182) Texas (+150)

Globe Life Field is where the Texas Rangers (78-84 last season) will take on the Boston Red Sox (81-81 last year) on Friday. The odds on this game have the Red Sox at -182 while the Rangers are coming in at +150. The over/under comes in at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Jack Leiter.

Boston had a slugging % of .423 and were called out on strikes 1,570 times, while drawing a walk on 493 occasions. They compiled 724 RBI's in addition to 1,404 hits over the course of last year, while their team batting average was at .252. The Red Sox hit 311 two-baggers as a team and knocked 194 baseballs out of the park. They notched a total of 751 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .319. As a unit, the Boston Red Sox compiled 4.6 runs per game, which was 9th in the league.

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They accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.93 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.26. Red Sox pitchers conceded 189 home runs in addition to 747 runs in total (23rd in baseball). Boston yielded 1,363 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and 652 earned runs. The Red Sox compiled a team ERA of 4.04 in the previous season (17th in the league), and the staff rung up 1,353 batters. Their pitching staff walked 461 batters and their FIP finished at 4.10 as a unit last year.

The Red Sox relief pitchers recorded a save rate of 56.3% and stepped onto the hill in 162 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 229 base runners over the course of the prior season with 34.5% of those runners ended up scoring. Red Sox pitchers went to the mound with runners on 164 times as well as having 192 games in high leverage situations. The Red Sox had sent 534 relief pitchers to the hill last season. The relief pitchers notched 87 holds for the previous season (12th in MLB). They earned 40 saves last season and missed out on 31 of 71 save opportunities.

The Boston Red Sox finished with 4,358 putouts in the prior season, as well as 1,449 assists and 115 errors. Their fielding rate was at .981 which had them ranked 29th in pro baseball, and had 117 double plays. The Red Sox turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of 13,074 innings, which had them ranked 20th in MLB.

Houck has taken the ball for 430 frames and has earned 417 K's during his career. Houck (24-29 career win-loss record) holds a FIP of 3.50 and he has faced 1,801 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.56 (170 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.192. He has allowed 372 hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) and has 141 free passes.

The Texas Rangers had an OBP of .305 as well as a batting average of .238 over the course of last year. They struck out on 1,284 occasions (23rd in baseball) and notched a total of 1,302 hits. Texas recorded 176 long balls over the course of the prior season to go along with 652 RBIs. The Rangers had a team slugging percentage of .380 and they scored 4.22 runs per contest (18th in baseball). They recorded 220 two-baggers, while walking 490 times as well as earning 683 runs.

The Texas pitching staff surrendered 738 runs over the course of the prior season while having a team ERA of 4.35 (690 earned runs given up). They gave up 198 HR's and they relinquished 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Rangers finished with a team WHIP of 1.298 and had a FIP of 4.32 as a unit for the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 8.60 (1,371 strikeouts against 530 walks). They finished at 17th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,323.

Texas relief pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 33.9% of 277 inherited base runners. Their relievers took the field 178 times in high leverage situations and on 174 occasions with runners on. Ending the season with 135 save situations, the Rangers accumulated 75 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They were sitting at 8th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they dispatched 483 relievers to the mound last season. Texas had relief pitchers enter the game in 57 save opportunities and they walked away with 38 saves.

The Texas Rangers turned 106 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (5th in professional baseball). The Rangers accrued 1,366 assists, 73 errors and accumulated 4,283 putouts for the prior year. Out of their 12,849 innings played, the Rangers finished with a efficiency on defense of 70.2% (14th in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Leiter has allowed 44 hits and he has 31 K's in 35 innings. Leiter (0-3 record in his career) has a 8.95 ERA and has allowed 11.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 35 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.733 and having a FIP of 8.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 1.82 and he has faced 173 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Texas (+150)

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