Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Texas Rangers

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-150) Texas (+125)

The Boston Red Sox (81-81 last year) are traveling to Globe Life Field on Thursday where they will try to defeat the Texas Rangers (78-84 last season). The moneyline on this game has Boston at -150 and Texas is sitting at +125. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers will be Garrett Crochet and Nathan Eovaldi.

As a squad, the Boston Red Sox earned 4.6 runs per contest, which had them at 9th in the league. They notched a total of 751 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .319. The Red Sox tallied 311 two-baggers as a squad and smacked 194 baseballs out of the park. They had 724 RBI's and 1,404 hits over the course of last season, and their team batting average was at .252. Boston had a slugging rate of .423 and struck out 1,570 times, while drawing a walk on 493 occasions.

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The Red Sox had an earned run average of 4.04 in the previous season (17th in MLB), and their staff rung up 1,353 batters. Red Sox pitchers yielded 189 long balls in addition to 747 runs in total (23rd in the league). Their pitching staff walked 461 batters and their FIP was 4.10 as a unit in the previous season. Boston conceded 1,363 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 652 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.93 and the pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.26.

Red Sox relief pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 164 times and also had 192 contests in high leverage situations. The bullpen notched 87 holds during the previous year (12th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers recorded a save percentage of 56.3% and stepped onto the mound in 162 save situations. They had 40 saves last season and blew 31 of their 71 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers inherited 229 base runners over the course of the prior season with 34.5% of those runners earned a run for their team. The Red Sox dispatched 534 relief pitchers to the mound last year.

The Red Sox transformed 69.3% of balls in play into outs out of their 13,074 innings on the diamond, ranking them 20th in MLB. The Boston Red Sox amassed 4,358 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,449 assists and 115 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .981 which ranked 29th in pro baseball, and accumulated 117 double plays.

Crochet (9-19 record in his career) holds a FIP of 3.24 and he has faced 911 opposing batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 180 hits (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 73 free passes. His ERA is 3.29 (80 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.155. Crochet has thrown 219 innings and has tallied 294 strikeouts in his MLB career.

The Texas Rangers recorded an on-base percentage of .305 and a batting average of .238 in the prior season. They struck out on 1,284 instances (23rd in MLB) and tallied 1,302 base hits. Texas compiled 176 long balls in the prior season to go along with 652 runs batted in. The Rangers had a team SLG% of .380 and they averaged 4.22 runs per contest (18th in the league). They notched 220 two-baggers, while taking a walk 490 times and putting up 683 runs.

The Rangers held a team WHIP of 1.298 in addition to having a FIP of 4.32 as a team over the course of the prior season. They were ranked 17th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,323. The Texas pitching staff surrendered 738 runs over the course of the prior season while having a team ERA of 4.35 (690 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 8.60 (1,371 strikeouts vs 530 walks). They gave up 198 long balls and they yielded 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).

Ending the season with 135 save situations, the Rangers recorded 75 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Texas called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 57 save chances and they walked away with 38 saves. Their relief pitchers came in 178 times in high leverage situations and on 174 occasions with runners on. Texas relievers held an inherited score percentage of 33.9% out of their 277 inherited runners. They were ranked 8th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they dispatched 483 relief pitchers to the hill last season.

Out of their 12,849 innings played, the Rangers accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.2% (14th in professional baseball). The Texas Rangers had 106 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (5th in baseball). The Rangers had 1,366 assists, 73 errors and a tally of 4,283 putouts for the prior year.

During his career, Eovaldi has given up 1,571 base knocks while he has earned 1,358 K's in 1,572 frames. Eovaldi (91-81 career win-loss record) has a 4.07 ERA and has conceded 9.0 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 711 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.282 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.05 and he has faced 6,628 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Texas (+125)

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