Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/16/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Wednesday, April 16, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Tampa Bay (-132)

The Boston Red Sox (8-10) are en route to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Wednesday where they will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (8-8). The odds on this game have Boston at +110 while Tampa Bay is priced at -132. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb and Zack Littell.

Boston has a slugging rate of .370 and have struck out 179 times, while taking a walk on 65 occasions. They have accumulated 74 RBI's and 154 base knocks this year, while their batting average is .248. The Red Sox have accrued 33 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 13 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 78 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 4.3 runs per game, which puts them at 14th in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.75 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.36. Red Sox pitchers have allowed 15 home runs and 93 runs in total (29th in baseball). Boston has relinquished 165 base hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 78 earned runs. The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.41 this season (23rd in the league), and their staff has rung up 143 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 52 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.59 as a unit this year.

The Red Sox bullpen have recorded a save rate of 62.5% and has come into the game in 12 save situations. The relievers have inherited 21 base runners this season with 57.1% of them ended up scoring. Red Sox bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 16 times and also have had 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The Red Sox have sent 56 relievers to the mound this season. The relief pitchers have earned 4 holds for the year (29th in MLB). They have earned 5 saves so far this season and have not converted 3 out of their 8 save chances.

The Red Sox have converted 65.0% of baseballs in play into outs in their 1,434 innings on the field, which ranks them 29th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 478 putouts this season, as well as 167 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .970 which ranks 30th in baseball, and have earned 22 double plays.

Newcomb (28-27 career win-loss mark) has earned a FIP of 4.46 while he has gone up against 1,968 batters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 416 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 243 walks. His earned run average is 4.53 (223 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.487. Newcomb has taken the mound for 443 innings and has racked up 453 K's so far in his career.

Tampa Bay has knocked in 18 long balls on the season to go along with 74 runs batted in. They have recorded 24 doubles, while walking 50 times as well as scoring 77 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have an on-base percentage of .339 in addition to a team batting average of .276 so far this year. The Rays hold a team slugging % of .435 and they average 4.81 runs per game (10th in baseball). They have struck out on 122 occasions (24th in MLB) and have notched a total of 145 base hits.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 59 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.38 (53 earned runs surrendered). They have relinquished 25 homers and they give up 3.76 runs per 9 innings (7th in the league). The Rays are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.105 with a FIP of 4.06 as a pitching staff for the season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.80 (154 strikeouts vs 36 bases on balls). They are currently ranked 13th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 120.

Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 5 save opportunities and they have walked away with 3 saves. They are ranked 15th in the league with a save rate of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 48 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Their relievers have taken the field 12 times in high leverage situations and also on 3 occasions with runners on base. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 40.0% of 5 inherited runners. Sitting with 13 save situations, the Rays have accrued 8 holds and also 2 blown saves.

In 1,275 innings played, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 71.5% (11th in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 14 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .984 (20th in MLB). The Rays have racked up 137 assists, 9 errors and have amassed 425 putouts on the season.

In his MLB career, Littell has given up 441 hits while he has accumulated 380 K's in 433 frames. He has given up 194 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.263 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.58 and he has faced 1,825 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. Littell (24-24 career mark) has earned a 4.03 earned run average and has given up 9.2 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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