Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Tuesday, April 15, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-150) Tampa Bay (+125)

The Tampa Bay Rays (7-8) will take on the Boston Red Sox (8-9) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -150 and the Rays are coming in at +125. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers are Walker Buehler and Ryan Pepiot.

As a unit, the Boston Red Sox are scoring 4.5 runs per outing, which is 11th in baseball. They have tallied 77 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .328. The Red Sox have earned 33 doubles as a squad and have hit 12 balls out of the park. They have earned 73 runs batted in in addition to 148 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate sits at .251. Boston has a slugging % of .375 and have struck out 165 times, while being walked on 65 occasions.

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The Red Sox are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.75 so far this season (14th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 134 hitters. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 11 home runs and 77 total runs (22nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 48 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.29 as a team for the year. Boston has relinquished 149 base knocks (8.9 per 9 innings) in addition to 63 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30.

Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 15 times in addition to having 18 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have 4 holds so far this season (29th in MLB). The Red Sox bullpen have a save percentage of 62.5% and has come into the game in 12 save situations. They have compiled 5 saves on the year and have blown 3 of their 8 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 18 base runners for the year with 50.0% of them ended up scoring. The Red Sox have dispatched 52 relievers to the mound this year.

The Red Sox have converted 65.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,362 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 29th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have earned a total of 454 putouts this year, as well as 158 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .970 which puts them in 30th in the majors, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Buehler has thrown 728 innings and has accounted for 768 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Buehler (48-23 career record) holds a FIP of 3.27 while he has faced 2,969 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.32 (269 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.096. He has surrendered 606 base knocks (7.5 hits per 9 innings) and has 192 free passes.

The Rays have a team slugging % of .409 and they are recording 4.07 runs per game (16th in baseball). They have hit 22 doubles, while walking 46 times as well as notching 61 runs. Tampa Bay has accumulated 14 long balls this year and 58 RBIs. They have been rung up on 113 occasions (26th in the league) and are sitting with 129 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .330 and a team batting average of .265 so far this season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 58 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.54 (52 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 24 homers and they surrender 3.95 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.135 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.21 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.50 (140 strikeouts against 36 bases on balls). They rank 10th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 114.

Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 5 save chances and they have earned 3 saves. They rank 15th in the league with a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have sent 46 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 12 times in high leverage situations in addition to 3 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay relievers have an inherited score percentage of 40.0% out of their 5 inherited base runners. With 13 save situations, the Rays have accrued 8 holds in addition to 2 blown saves.

In 1,194 innings on the field, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 71.6% (11th in the majors). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 13 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (21st in professional baseball). The Rays have racked up 129 assists, 9 errors and are sitting with 398 putouts on the campaign.

So far in his MLB career, Pepiot has given up 172 hits while earning 238 punch outs in 224 frames. Pepiot (14-10 record in his career) has earned a 3.29 earned run average and has conceded 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 82 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.156 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has faced 931 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-150)

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