Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/14/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, April 14, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-130) Tampa Bay (+110)

The Boston Red Sox (7-7) are on their way to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Monday where they will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (5-7). The odds on this game have Boston at -130 and Tampa Bay opens at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be Tanner Houck and Ryan Pepiot.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are earning 5.1 runs/g, which has them sitting at 7th in baseball. They have earned 71 runs while having a team OBP of .331. The Red Sox have tallied 29 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 11 balls out of the stadium. They have accrued 67 RBI's in addition to 125 base knocks on the year, while their batting average is .255. Boston has a slugging percentage of .385 and have been called out on strikes 136 times, while being walked on 55 occasions.

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The Red Sox hold a team ERA of 3.86 over the course of the season (14th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 102 batters. Red Sox pitchers have yielded 10 home runs and 62 runs in total (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 40 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.53 as a squad over the course of the season. Boston has conceded 129 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 54 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.34.

The Red Sox have dispatched 44 relievers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have inherited 17 base runners this season with 47.1% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have recorded 4 saves for the year and have blown 2 of their 6 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relief pitchers have a save rate of 66.7% and has entered the game in 9 save situations. The relievers have notched 3 holds on the year (29th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 14 times in addition to having 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have turned 65.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,134 innings, which has them sitting at 28th in MLB. The Baltimore Orioles have a tally of 378 putouts for the season, as well as 141 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .974 which has them ranked 29th in the majors, and they have turned 21 double plays.

Houck (24-30 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.54 while he has faced 1,868 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 389 base knocks (7.8 hits per nine innings) with 148 free passes. His earned run average is 3.59 (178 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.203. Houck has taken the hill for 446 innings and has totaled 427 K's in his pro baseball career.

The Rays have a team slugging % of .379 and they have an average of 3.58 runs per contest (21st in MLB). They have hit 19 doubles, while walking 36 times and earning 43 runs. Tampa Bay has a total of 8 long balls for the season and 40 RBIs. They have struck out on 86 occasions (28th in MLB) and have earned 97 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have an OBP of .316 in addition to a batting average of .252 for the season.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have surrendered 47 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 3.76 (44 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 18 homers and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball). The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.093 and have a FIP of 4.13 as a staff for the year. Their K/BB ratio is 9.10 (107 strikeouts against 28 walks). They come in at 8th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 87.

Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 0.0% out of 1 inherited runner. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 1 occasion with base runners. Sitting with 7 save situations, the Rays have earned 4 holds in addition to 1 blown save. They sit at 11th in the league with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 35 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the season. Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 3 save opportunities and they have earned 2 saves.

In their 951 innings on the diamond, the Rays have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 73.3% (6th in pro baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 7 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in professional baseball). The Rays have accrued 103 assists, 6 errors and have earned 317 putouts over the course of the season.

During his pro baseball career, Pepiot has surrendered 172 hits while tallying 238 strikeouts in 224 frames. He has given up 82 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.156 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.74 and he has gone up against 931 opposing batters during his MLB career. Pepiot (14-10 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.29 earned run average and has conceded 6.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)

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