Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox Prediction, 4/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Chicago White Sox

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: Rate Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Chicago Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (-144) Chicago (+120)

The Chicago White Sox (2-9) are welcoming the Boston Red Sox (6-7) at Rate Field on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at -144 while the White Sox are sitting at +120. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Sean Newcomb and Davis Martin.

As a team, the Boston Red Sox are knocking in 5.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 6th in the league. They have 67 runs scored and hold an OBP of .330. The Red Sox have recorded 29 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 11 balls out of the park. They have tallied 64 runs batted in in addition to 117 hits this season, and their batting average is sitting at .257. Boston has a slugging rate of .397 and have been called out on strikes 126 times, while being walked on 51 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.46 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.36. Red Sox pitchers have surrendered 10 home runs in addition to 59 runs in total (21st in baseball). Boston has surrendered 121 base knocks (9.4 per 9 innings) and 52 earned runs. The Red Sox have a team ERA of 4.03 this season (16th in baseball), and the staff has rung up 91 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 37 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.69 as a team on the season.

The Red Sox have sent 40 relievers to the mound for the year. The relievers have inherited 16 runners on the year with 43.8% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have recorded 4 saves on the season and have blown 1 of 5 chances to get a save. The Red Sox relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 80.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 3 holds on the campaign (29th in the league). Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 12 times as well as having 11 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Red Sox have converted 65.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 1,044 innings, which has them sitting 28th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles have earned 348 putouts on the year, in addition to 132 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .976 which ranks 28th in pro baseball, and they have turned 20 double plays.

Newcomb (28-26 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.46 while he has faced 1,946 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 410 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 241 walks. His earned run average is 4.53 (221 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.482. Newcomb has taken the mound for 439 innings and has accumulated 447 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Chicago White Sox have accumulated an OBP of .276 and a batting average of .202 for the year. They have been rung up on 87 occasions (26th in baseball) and have earned 70 base knocks. Chicago has recorded 9 HRs for the year to go along with 33 runs batted in. The White Sox have a slugging percentage of .315 and they average 3.09 runs per contest (29th in MLB). They have 12 two-baggers, while walking 36 times as well as recording 34 runs.

The White Sox have a WHIP of 1.265 and have a FIP of 4.50 as a squad on the year. They are currently ranked 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 72. The Chicago pitching staff have conceded 41 runs this year while holding an ERA of 3.73 (39 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (86 strikeouts vs 47 free passes). They have allowed 11 dingers and they give up 3.92 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league).

Sitting with 9 save situations, the White Sox have 7 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Chicago has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 2 save chances and they have tallied 0 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the mound 11 times in high leverage situations in addition to 9 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 41.2% out of their 17 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 29th in MLB with a save percentage of 0.0%, and they have dispatched 36 relievers onto the field on the year.

The Chicago White Sox have gotten 9 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .989 (7th in baseball). The White Sox have recorded 93 assists, 4 errors and have notched a total of 283 putouts so far this year. In 849 innings on the diamond, the White Sox have a defensive efficiency of 74.5% (5th in the majors).

In his MLB career, Martin has surrendered 126 base knocks while accumulating 99 punch outs in 124 frames. Martin (3-12 record in his career) holds a 4.71 earned run average while surrendering 9.1 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 65 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.386 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.15 and he has gone up against 538 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Chicago (+120)

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