Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 4/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+172) Baltimore (-210)

Oriole Park at Camden Yards is where the Baltimore Orioles (3-2) will meet the Boston Red Sox (1-4) on Thursday. The line on this matchup has the Red Sox at +172 while the Orioles are coming in at -210. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Tanner Houck and Charlie Morton.

The Red Sox have recorded 6 doubles as a squad and have hit 3 balls out of the stadium. Boston has a slugging % of .302 and have struck out 55 times, while drawing a walk on 20 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox are putting up 3.2 runs per game, which ranks them 23rd in MLB. They have earned 15 runs batted in in addition to 34 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .201. They have earned 16 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .289.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 3.00 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Red Sox pitchers have relinquished 5 long balls and 21 runs (12th in the league). Boston has allowed 44 hits (9.7 per 9 innings) and also 21 earned runs. The Red Sox have an ERA of 4.61 so far this season (21st in the league), and the staff has rung up 27 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 9 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.93 as a team on the year.

Red Sox relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 3 times in addition to having 1 appearance in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 0 holds on the year (28th in baseball). The Red Sox relievers have accumulated a save percentage of 100.0% and has entered the game in 1 save situation. They have 1 save this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 6 base runners so far this year and 66.7% of those runners ended up scoring. The Red Sox have sent 14 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Baltimore Orioles have a total of 123 putouts on the campaign, as well as 47 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .983 which ranks 22nd in baseball, and they have turned 7 double plays. The Red Sox have transformed 67.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 369 innings, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

Houck has taken the ball for 430 frames and has totaled 417 K's so far in his MLB career. Houck (24-29 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.50 while facing 1,801 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.56 (170 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.192. He has allowed 372 hits (7.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 141 walks.

The Orioles hold a slugging % of .517 and they have an average of 6.40 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 7 two-baggers, while walking 15 times as well as putting up 32 runs. Baltimore has recorded 10 home runs this season to go along with 31 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 44 instances (12th in baseball) and have earned a total of 53 base hits. The Baltimore Orioles are sitting with a team OBP of .364 as well as a batting average of .305 so far this year.

The Orioles have a WHIP of 1.395 in addition to having a FIP of 3.06 as a pitching staff on the campaign. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.40 (45 strikeouts against 19 walks). They are currently ranked 16th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 41. They have surrendered 3 dingers and they relinquish 4.81 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have surrendered 23 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.60 (22 earned runs conceded).

Baltimore has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 0 save chances. They are currently ranked 26th in baseball holding a save percentage of 0.0%, and they have sent 19 relievers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 4 times in high leverage situations and also on 4 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 6 inherited runners. Sitting with 5 save situations, the Orioles have earned 4 holds in addition to 0 blown saves.

In their 387 innings on the field, the Orioles are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 65.7% (28th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 4 double plays and have a fielding rate of .977 (26th in pro baseball). The Orioles have accrued 39 assists, 4 errors and have 129 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Morton has allowed 1,991 base knocks while totaling 2,047 strikeouts in 2,125 innings. He has conceded 948 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 2.60 and he has gone up against 9,101 hitters during his pro baseball career. Morton (138-123 career mark) has earned a 4.01 ERA and has given up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (-210)

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