Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 3/31/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Boston Red Sox vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Monday, March 31, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Boston (+110) Baltimore (-130)

The Baltimore Orioles (91-71 last season) are welcoming the Boston Red Sox (81-81 last year) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Monday. The moneyline on this contest has the Red Sox at +110 and the Orioles open at -130. The total is 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Sean Newcomb and Cade Povich.

The Red Sox hit 311 two-baggers as a squad and hit 194 balls out of the stadium. Boston had a slugging percentage of .423 and were called out on strikes 1,570 times, while taking a walk on 493 occasions. As a team, the Boston Red Sox knocked in 4.6 runs per outing, which had them at 9th in the league. They compiled 724 runs batted in and 1,404 hits last year, while their average at the plate was at .252. They had a total of 751 runs scored and held an OBP of .319.

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They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.93 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.26. Red Sox pitchers surrendered 189 home runs in addition to 747 total runs (23rd in MLB). Boston gave up 1,363 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 652 earned runs. The Red Sox finished with a team earned run average of 4.04 last year (17th in the league), and their staff rung up 1,353 batters. Their pitching staff walked 461 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 4.10 as a unit in the previous season.

Red Sox bullpen pitchers came into the game with players on base 164 times in addition to having 192 outings in high leverage situations. The bullpen had a total of 87 holds over the course of last year (12th in the league). The Red Sox relief pitchers recorded a save percentage of 56.3% and entered the game in 162 save situations. They accumulated 40 saves over the course of last season and blew 31 of their 71 save chances. The relief pitchers inherited 229 base runners last year with 34.5% of them crossed home plate. The Red Sox dispatched 534 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the prior season.

The Red Sox transformed 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 13,074 innings, ranking them 20th in the majors. The Boston Red Sox accumulated 4,358 putouts for the previous season, as well as 1,449 assists and 115 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .981 which ranked 29th in pro baseball, and they turned 117 double plays.

Newcomb (28-25 mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.44 while he has faced 1,905 opposing hitters in the majors. He has given up 396 hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 236 free passes. His ERA is 4.51 (216 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.466. Newcomb has taken the hill for 431 innings and has earned 438 punch outs so far in his career.

Baltimore hit 235 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 759 RBIs. They recorded 262 doubles, while walking 489 times and recording 786 runs. The Baltimore Orioles recorded an on-base percentage of .315 as well as a team batting average of .250 last year. The Orioles had a slugging percentage of .435 and they scored 4.85 runs per outing (4th in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,359 instances (18th in baseball) and tallied 1,391 base knocks.

The Orioles had a team WHIP of 1.237 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.93 as a team over the course of the prior season. Their K/BB ratio came in at 8.60 (1,380 strikeouts vs 481 walks). They were ranked 14th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,303. They relinquished 175 dingers and they allowed 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The Baltimore pitching staff yielded 699 runs in the previous season while having a team ERA of 3.94 (632 earned runs surrendered).

Baltimore had relievers enter the game in 67 save chances and they walked away with 46 saves. They were sitting at 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 68.7%, and they dispatched 546 relievers to the hill last year. Their bullpen pitchers came in 159 times in high leverage situations and also on 175 occasions with runners on. Baltimore relievers held an inherited score percentage of 31.2% out of their 253 inherited runners. Wrapping up the year with 179 save situations, the Orioles recorded 111 holds in addition to 21 blown saves.

Out of their 12,978 innings played, the Orioles held a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (12th in MLB). The Baltimore Orioles turned 100 double plays and accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (11th in baseball). The Orioles accrued 1,336 assists, 81 errors and had 4,326 putouts over the course of last year.

During his MLB career, Povich has allowed 80 hits while tallying 69 punch outs in 79 frames. He has given up 46 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.439 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.03 and he has gone up against 352 hitters so far in his MLB career. Povich (3-9 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 5.23 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+110)

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