Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-130) Toronto (+110)

The Toronto Blue Jays (74-88 last season) are welcoming the Baltimore Orioles (91-71 last year) at Rogers Centre on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has Baltimore at -130 and Toronto is coming in at +110. The total is set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Tomoyuki Sugano and Chris Bassitt.

Baltimore had a slugging percentage of .435 and struck out 1,359 times, while taking a walk on 489 occasions. They accrued 759 RBI's in addition to 1,391 hits last season, and their team batting average was .250. The Orioles hit 262 doubles as a team and hit 235 baseballs out of the park. They earned 786 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .315. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles put up 4.9 runs per outing, which was 4th in MLB.

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They earned a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.24. Orioles pitchers gave up 175 home runs in addition to 699 runs in total (16th in the league). Baltimore allowed 1,303 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and 632 earned runs. The Orioles had a team ERA of 3.94 in the previous season (14th in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,380 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 481 hitters and their FIP came in at 3.93 as a unit over the course of last year.

The Orioles relief pitchers compiled a save rate of 68.7% and entered the game in 179 save situations. The bullpen inherited 253 runners over the course of the prior season with 31.2% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Orioles bullpen pitchers entered the game with runners on 175 times as well as having 159 games in high leverage situations. The Orioles dispatched 546 relief pitchers to the mound last year. The relief pitchers tallied 111 holds in the prior season (3rd in baseball). They tallied 46 saves in the previous season and blew 21 of their 67 save opportunities.

The Orioles converted 70.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,978 innings on the diamond, which had them ranked 12th in professional baseball. The Baltimore Orioles notched a total of 4,326 putouts for the previous season, as well as 1,336 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage was at .986 which had them sitting 11th in pro baseball, and had a total of 100 double plays.

Toronto had 156 home runs in the prior season to go along with 640 RBIs. They hit 280 two-baggers, while taking a walk 510 times as well as putting up 671 runs. The Toronto Blue Jays had an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .241 last season. The Blue Jays had a team slugging percentage of .389 and they averaged 4.14 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They were called out on strikes on 1,233 occasions (25th in baseball) and notched a total of 1,306 hits.

The Blue Jays had a team WHIP of 1.275 and had a FIP of 4.43 as a staff last season. They had a ranking of 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,316. The Toronto pitching staff conceded 743 runs last year while holding an ERA of 4.29 (681 earned runs yielded). They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,314 strikeouts vs 503 bases on balls). They surrendered 208 dingers and they conceded 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league).

Toronto had relief pitchers enter the contest in 59 save chances and they earned 36 saves. They were ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 61.0%, and they sent 549 relievers onto the field last season. Their relief pitchers stepped onto the mound 128 times in high leverage situations and also on 159 occasions with runners on. Toronto relief pitchers had an inherited score rate of 31.4% out of 245 inherited base runners. Finishing with 147 save situations, the Blue Jays earned 85 holds and 23 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays had 125 double plays and notched a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the majors). The Blue Jays recorded 1,355 assists, 92 errors and earned a total of 4,282 putouts for the previous season. In 12,846 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (7th in the majors).

Bassitt (72-56 record in his career) has a 3.59 earned run average while giving up 8.2 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and he has faced 4,674 opposing batters thus far in his career. He has given up a total of 442 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.234 and a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Bassitt has conceded 1,010 hits while tallying 1,025 K's in 1,108 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Baltimore (-130)

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