Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 3/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-275) Toronto (+220)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (74-88 last season) will attempt to beat the Baltimore Orioles (91-71 last year) on Friday. The odds on this game have Baltimore at -275 and Toronto is coming in at +220. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Charlie Morton and Kevin Gausman.

Baltimore had a slugging rate of .435 and were called out on strikes 1,359 times, while taking a walk on 489 occasions. They accumulated 759 RBI's and 1,391 base knocks last season, and their average at the plate was .250. The Orioles tallied 262 two-baggers as a team and knocked 235 balls out of the stadium. They earned a total of 786 runs scored while having a team OBP of .315. As a squad, the Baltimore Orioles notched 4.9 runs per game, which put them at 4th in the league.

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The Orioles finished with a team earned run average of 3.94 in the previous season (14th in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,380 hitters. Orioles pitchers relinquished 175 long balls and also 699 runs in total (16th in the league). Their pitching staff walked 481 opposing players and their FIP came in at 3.93 as a squad in the prior season. Baltimore surrendered 1,303 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 632 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.87 and their pitching staff recorded a WHIP of 1.24.

Orioles relief pitchers came into the game with runners on 175 times in addition to having 159 games in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers had a total of 111 holds during the previous year (3rd in baseball). The Orioles relievers recorded a save percentage of 68.7% and stepped onto the mound in 179 save situations. They accumulated 46 saves last season and did not convert 21 of their 67 save opportunities. The relief pitchers inherited 253 base runners for the previous season and 31.2% of those runners crossed the plate. The Orioles had sent 546 relievers to the mound last year.

The Baltimore Orioles had a tally of 4,326 putouts last season, in addition to 1,336 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding rate was at .986 which was 11th in baseball, and accumulated 100 double plays. The Orioles turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,978 innings on the field, which had them ranked 12th in baseball.

Morton (138-123 career win-loss mark) holds a FIP of 3.95 while he has gone up against 9,101 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,991 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 787 walks. His earned run average is 4.01 (948 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.307. Morton has thrown 2,125 frames and has earned 2,047 K's in his MLB career.

The Blue Jays had a team slugging percentage of .389 and they scored 4.14 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They notched 280 doubles, while taking a walk 510 times as well as putting up 671 runs. Toronto tallied 156 home runs last year and 640 runs batted in. They were rung up on 1,233 occasions (25th in the league) and accounted for 1,306 base knocks. The Toronto Blue Jays had a team OBP of .313 as well as a batting average of .241 over the course of last season.

The Toronto pitching staff conceded 743 runs during the previous year while holding a team ERA of 4.29 (681 earned runs relinquished). They relinquished 208 long balls and they gave up 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Blue Jays had a WHIP of 1.275 and were the owners of a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff in the previous season. Their strikeout to walk ratio came in at 8.30 (1,314 strikeouts against 503 walks). They ranked 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,316.

With 147 save situations, the Blue Jays accrued 85 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. Toronto had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 59 save chances and they tallied 36 saves. Their relievers stepped onto the mound 128 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with base runners. Toronto bullpen pitchers held an inherited score percentage of 31.4% of 245 inherited runners. They ranked 21st in the league holding a save percentage of 61.0%, and they sent 549 bullpen pitchers onto the field last season.

In their 12,846 innings played, the Blue Jays had a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (7th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays turned 125 double plays and had a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in pro baseball). The Blue Jays racked up 1,355 assists, 92 errors and had a total of 4,282 putouts over the course of last season.

Gausman (102-102 career mark) is the owner of a 3.84 earned run average and has given up 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.64 and he has gone up against 7,211 batters during his pro baseball career. He has allowed 733 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.260 and a FIP of 3.8. Thus far in his career, Gausman has surrendered 1,680 base hits and he has 1,765 strikeouts in 1,718 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+220)

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