Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Baltimore Orioles vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Baltimore (-196) Toronto (+162)

Rogers Centre is the location where the Toronto Blue Jays (74-88 last season) will try to beat the Baltimore Orioles (91-71 last year) on Thursday. The line on this contest has the Orioles at -196 and the Blue Jays are opening at +162. The over/under has been set at 8. The men taking the mound are Zach Eflin and Jose Berrios.

As a unit, the Baltimore Orioles recorded 4.9 runs per contest, which put them at 4th in MLB. They accumulated 786 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .315. The Orioles accrued 262 doubles as a unit and smacked 235 baseballs out of the park. They tallied 759 runs batted in and 1,391 hits last year, while their batting average was .250. Baltimore had a slugging % of .435 and were rung up 1,359 times, while drawing a walk on 489 occasions.

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The Orioles had an earned run average of 3.94 for the prior year (14th in the league), and they struck out 1,380 batters. Orioles pitchers allowed 175 long balls and 699 runs in total (16th in baseball). Their pitching staff walked 481 opposing hitters and their FIP came in at 3.93 as a unit over the course of last year. Baltimore yielded 1,303 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 632 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio was 2.87 and their pitching staff held a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Orioles had sent 546 relief pitchers to the hill during the previous year. The relief pitchers inherited 253 runners last season and 31.2% of them ended up crossing the plate. They recorded 46 saves in the prior season and did not convert 21 of 67 chances to get a save. The Orioles relievers recorded a save percentage of 68.7% and entered the game in 179 save situations. The relief pitchers had a total of 111 holds last year (3rd in baseball). Orioles relief pitchers went to the mound with runners on base 175 times as well as having 159 contests in high leverage situations.

The Orioles transformed 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 12,978 innings on the field, which had them sitting at 12th in pro baseball. The Baltimore Orioles had a total of 4,326 putouts over the course of last year, as well as 1,336 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage was previously at .986 which put them in 11th in baseball, and they turned 100 double plays.

Eflin has taken the mound for 1,002 innings and has 872 strikeouts in his career. Eflin (62-62 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.10 while he has gone up against 4,192 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.17 (464 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.223. He has allowed 1,018 base hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has 208 free passes.

The Blue Jays held a slugging % of .389 and they were scoring 4.14 runs per game (23rd in MLB). They hit 280 doubles, while walking 510 times as well as notching 671 runs. Toronto accumulated 156 home runs last year in addition to 640 runs batted in. They struck out on 1,233 occasions (25th in baseball) and were sitting with 1,306 base hits. The Toronto Blue Jays earned a team OBP of .313 as well as a batting average of .241 for the prior year.

The Blue Jays had a team WHIP of 1.275 in addition to having a FIP of 4.43 as a pitching staff last season. They were ranked 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,316. The Toronto pitching staff allowed 743 runs during the previous year while holding a team ERA of 4.29 (681 earned runs surrendered). They had a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (1,314 strikeouts vs 503 walks). They conceded 208 long balls and they surrender 4.69 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB).

Toronto had relief pitchers take the mound in 59 save chances and they came away with 36 saves. They ranked 21st in baseball with a save rate of 61.0%, and they sent 549 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond last year. Their bullpen pitchers came in 128 times in high leverage situations and on 159 occasions with base runners. Toronto relievers had an inherited score rate of 31.4% of 245 inherited runners. Finishing with 147 save situations, the Blue Jays had 85 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

The Toronto Blue Jays turned 125 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in baseball). The Blue Jays accrued 1,355 assists, 92 errors and accounted for 4,282 putouts during the previous year. In 12,846 innings played, the Blue Jays earned a efficiency on defense of 70.5% (7th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Berrios has conceded 1,314 base hits while he has earned 1,343 strikeouts in 1,405 frames. He has surrendered a total of 636 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.232 and a FIP of 4.0. His K/BB ratio is 3.22 and he has faced 5,909 batters in his career. Berrios (99-77 career mark) has earned a 4.07 earned run average and has given up 8.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (+162)

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