Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, April 12, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+220) Tampa Bay (-275)

The Atlanta Braves (2-9) are en route to George M. Steinbrenner Field on Saturday where they will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (5-6). The moneyline on this game has Atlanta at +220 and Tampa Bay is priced at -275. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Bryce Elder and Drew Rasmussen.

As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 3.1 runs per outing, which puts them at 28th in MLB. They have accounted for 34 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .305. The Braves have hit 14 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 8 balls out of the stadium. They have amassed 31 RBI's in addition to 77 hits this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .215. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .327 and have struck out 103 times, while being walked on 45 occasions.

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The Braves have a team earned run average of 4.39 this year (20th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 95 batters. Braves pitchers have yielded 14 home runs and also 45 total runs (8th in MLB). They have walked 35 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.18 as a unit this season. Atlanta has allowed 88 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and also 45 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.71 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34.

The Braves have sent 35 relievers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 14 base runners for the year with 50.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have earned 1 save on the campaign and have blown 3 of their 4 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 25.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. The bullpen have notched 4 holds for the year (25th in MLB). Braves pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 11 times and also have had 14 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Braves have turned 69.3% of balls in play into outs in their 831 innings, which has them sitting 22nd in pro baseball. The Athletics have earned 277 putouts this season, in addition to 95 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .992 which has them ranked 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 6 double plays.

Elder has taken the hill for 282 frames and has accumulated 224 K's in his career. Elder (16-13 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.15 while he has gone up against 1,202 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.21 (132 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.333. He has allowed 271 hits (8.6 hits per 9 innings) with 105 walks.

Tampa Bay has a total of 8 HRs so far this season as well as 39 RBIs. They have hit 18 doubles, while taking a walk 33 times as well as notching 42 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays have an on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a batting average of .256 on the season. The Rays hold a slugging percentage of .390 and they average 3.82 runs per game (16th in the league). They have struck out on 81 occasions (30th in the league) and have earned 91 base hits.

The Tampa Bay pitching staff have conceded 36 runs so far this year while having a team ERA of 3.18 (34 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 12 homers and they surrender 3.37 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Rays hold a team WHIP of 1.040 and have a FIP of 3.52 as a squad over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.50 (102 strikeouts against 27 walks). They are currently ranked 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 73.

Tampa Bay has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 3 save opportunities and they have recorded 2 saves. They are ranked 12th in baseball with a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 32 relief pitchers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 1 occasion with runners on. Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 0.0% out of their 1 inherited base runner. With 7 save situations, the Rays have tallied 4 holds and also 1 blown save.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 6 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Rays have 92 assists, 5 errors and have notched a total of 290 putouts for the year. In 870 innings played, the Rays have a defensive efficiency of 73.6% (7th in the majors).

In his career, Rasmussen has given up 261 hits while he has accumulated 309 strikeouts in 320 frames. He has given up 103 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.074 and having a FIP of 2.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.72 and he has gone up against 1,290 opposing hitters in his MLB career. Rasmussen (21-12 career record) has earned a 2.90 earned run average and has surrendered 7.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+220)

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