Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 4/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Friday, April 11, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) Tampa Bay (-210)

The Tampa Bay Rays (5-6) will try to beat the Atlanta Braves (2-9) at George M. Steinbrenner Field on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Atlanta at +172 while Tampa Bay is sitting at -210. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be AJ Smith-Shawver and Taj Bradley.

As a squad, the Atlanta Braves are putting up 3.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 28th in the league. They have earned a total of 34 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305. The Braves have earned 14 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 8 balls out of the stadium. They have tallied 31 RBI's as well as 77 hits for the season, while their team batting average is .215. Atlanta is slugging .327 and have been called out on strikes 103 times, while drawing a walk on 45 occasions.

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The Braves are sitting with a team ERA of 4.39 on the year (20th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 95 batters. Braves pitchers have conceded 14 long balls and also 45 total runs (8th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 35 hitters and their FIP is 4.18 as a team on the campaign. Atlanta has relinquished 88 base knocks (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 45 earned runs. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.71 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on 11 times as well as having 14 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 4 holds for the season (25th in the league). The Braves relievers have earned a save rate of 25.0% and has entered the game in 8 save situations. They have earned 1 save over the course of the season and have not converted 3 out of their 4 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 14 runners for the season and 50.0% of those players ended up scoring. The Braves have sent 35 relievers to the hill on the season.

The Athletics have notched a total of 277 putouts so far this season, in addition to 95 assists and 3 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .992 which has them sitting 3rd in the majors, and they have turned 6 double plays. The Braves have turned 69.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 831 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 22nd in pro baseball.

Smith-Shawver (1-2 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.03 and he has faced 167 batters in the majors. He has given up 33 base knocks (7.9 hits per nine innings) with 19 walks. His earned run average is 4.09 (17 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.390. Smith-Shawver has taken the hill for 37 frames and has racked up 34 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .319 as well as a batting average of .256 for the season. They have been called out on strikes on 81 instances (30th in the league) and have earned 91 hits. Tampa Bay has knocked in 8 home runs this season as well as 39 RBIs. The Rays hold a slugging % of .390 and they are recording 3.82 runs per outing (16th in baseball). They have tallied 18 two-baggers, while getting a free base 33 times and scoring 42 runs.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.040 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.52 as a staff this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (102 strikeouts vs 27 free passes). They come in at 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 73. They have surrendered 12 homers and they allow 3.37 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have yielded 36 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.18 (34 earned runs relinquished).

Tampa Bay has had relievers enter the game in 3 save opportunities and they have tallied 2 saves. They sit at 12th in baseball with a save percentage of 66.7%, and they have sent 32 relief pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 9 times in high leverage situations in addition to 1 occasion with runners on. Tampa Bay relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 0.0% out of their 1 inherited base runner. Sitting with 7 save situations, the Rays have amassed 4 holds and 1 blown save.

In 870 innings on the diamond, the Rays hold a defensive efficiency of 73.6% (7th in baseball). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 6 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in MLB). The Rays have accrued 92 assists, 5 errors and have accumulated 290 putouts so far this year.

During his pro baseball career, Bradley has allowed 235 base hits while accumulating 297 K's in 253 frames. He has surrendered 134 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.284 and having a FIP of 4.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.30 and he has gone up against 1,082 hitters during his pro baseball career. Bradley (14-19 career mark) has a 4.76 ERA while giving up 8.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Atlanta (+172)

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