Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, March 30, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+162) San Diego (-196)

Petco Park is the location where the San Diego Padres (93-69 last season) will take on the Atlanta Braves (89-73 last year) on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Braves at +162 while the Padres are at -196. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be AJ Smith-Shawver and Nick Pivetta.

Atlanta had a slugging percentage of .415 and struck out 1,461 times, while drawing a walk on 485 occasions. They tallied 674 RBI's in addition to 1,333 base knocks over the course of last year, and their average at the plate was .243. The Braves hit 273 two-baggers as a unit and hit 213 balls out of the stadium. They earned 704 runs and held an OBP of .309. As a squad, the Atlanta Braves knocked in 4.4 runs per outing, which had them sitting at 15th in MLB.

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The Braves compiled a team ERA of 3.49 for the prior year (1st in the league), and the staff struck out 1,553 hitters. Braves pitchers gave up 150 home runs and 607 runs in total (1st in MLB). Their pitching staff walked 449 opposing players and their FIP finished at 3.44 as a team in the prior season. Atlanta surrendered 1,277 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 559 earned runs. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.20.

The Braves relief pitchers earned a save percentage of 64.5% and entered the game in 130 save situations. The relief pitchers inherited 159 runners in the previous season with 29.6% of them ended up crossing the plate. Braves relief pitchers came into the game with players on base 114 times in addition to having 151 games in high leverage situations. The Braves had dispatched 481 relievers to the hill for the previous season. The relievers finished with 67 holds for the prior year (27th in the league). They earned 40 saves in the prior season and blew 22 out of their 62 save opportunities.

The Braves converted 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,990 innings on the diamond, ranking them 23rd in MLB. The Atlanta Braves had a tally of 4,330 putouts for the prior year, as well as 1,436 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage held at .988 which ranked 2nd in baseball, and earned 131 double plays.

Smith-Shawver has taken the hill for 29 frames and has accumulated 24 strikeouts so far in his MLB career. Smith-Shawver (1-0 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.64 and he has faced 123 opposing batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.70 (12 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.130. He has surrendered 20 hits (6.2 hits per 9 innings) with 13 free passes.

The San Diego Padres earned an OBP of .324 and a team batting average of .263 in the prior season. They struck out on 1,077 occasions (30th in baseball) and totaled 1,456 hits. San Diego accumulated 190 home runs over the course of last year to go along with 726 RBIs. The Padres had a team SLG% of .420 and they averaged 4.69 runs per game (8th in MLB). They hit 259 two-baggers, while getting a free base 458 times and putting up 760 runs.

The Padres finished with a team WHIP of 1.222 with a FIP of 3.77 as a team over the course of last season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts vs 462 walks). They had a ranking of 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,296. They conceded 169 long balls and they relinquished 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff given up 669 runs over the course of the prior season while having a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs given up).

San Diego called on relievers to step onto the hill in 67 save chances and they earned 44 saves. They were sitting at 12th in the league holding a save percentage of 65.7%, and they dispatched 539 relief pitchers to the hill last year. Their relief pitchers took the field 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 163 occasions with runners on. San Diego relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of their 246 inherited runners. Ending the season with 154 save situations, the Padres earned 85 holds in addition to 23 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres had 117 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in MLB). The Padres accrued 1,297 assists, 75 errors and amassed 4,318 putouts during the previous year. In their 12,954 innings played, the Padres held a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Pivetta has conceded 978 hits and he has 1,139 punch outs in 1,029 innings pitched. He has surrendered 544 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.317 and having a FIP of 4.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.02 and he has faced 4,386 batters during his career. Pivetta (56-71 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 4.76 ERA and has surrendered 8.6 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+162)

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