Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, March 29, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+162) San Diego (-196)

The San Diego Padres (93-69 last season) host the Atlanta Braves (89-73 last year) at Petco Park on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Braves at +162 while the Padres are coming in at -196. The betting total is set at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Spencer Schwellenbach and Randy Vasquez.

The Braves accumulated 273 two-baggers as a squad and hit 213 baseballs out of the park. Atlanta had a slugging percentage of .415 and struck out 1,461 times, while taking a walk on 485 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves put up 4.4 runs per contest, which ranked them 15th in the league. They compiled 674 RBI's in addition to 1,333 base knocks for the prior year, and their average at the plate was at .243. They accounted for 704 runs while holding a team OBP of .309.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.46 and their pitching staff held a WHIP of 1.20. Braves pitchers relinquished 150 home runs and 607 total runs (1st in baseball). Atlanta gave up 1,277 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 559 earned runs. The Braves held a team ERA of 3.49 in the prior season (1st in baseball), and their staff struck out 1,553 batters. They walked 449 players from the other team and their FIP finished at 3.44 as a team during the previous year.

The Braves bullpen accumulated a save rate of 64.5% and stepped onto the mound in 130 save situations. The bullpen inherited 159 base runners last season and 29.6% of them crossed the plate. Braves relief pitchers went to the mound with players on base 114 times and also had 151 games in high leverage situations. The Braves sent 481 relief pitchers to the hill last season. The bullpen notched 67 holds during the previous year (27th in MLB). They compiled 40 saves over the course of last season and missed out on 22 of their 62 save opportunities.

The Atlanta Braves accumulated 4,330 putouts last year, in addition to 1,436 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .988 which ranked 2nd in the majors, and accumulated 131 double plays. The Braves turned 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of 12,990 innings, which had them sitting at 23rd in baseball.

Schwellenbach has thrown 123 frames and is sitting with 127 K's thus far in his career. Schwellenbach (8-7 career record) holds a FIP of 3.31 while facing 500 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.36 (46 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.047. He has allowed 106 base knocks (7.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 23 walks.

The Padres had a team SLG% of .420 and they had an average of 4.69 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They notched 259 doubles, while getting a free base 458 times as well as earning 760 runs. San Diego had 190 home runs in the prior season in addition to 726 RBIs. They were called out on strikes on 1,077 occasions (30th in MLB) and totaled 1,456 base hits. The San Diego Padres tallied an OBP of .324 as well as a batting average of .263 in the previous season.

The Padres had a team WHIP of 1.222 with a FIP of 3.77 as a team during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts against 462 walks). They finished at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,296. They gave up 169 homers and they relinquished 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The San Diego pitching staff allowed 669 runs for the prior year while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs relinquished).

San Diego bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 246 inherited runners. Their relievers took the field 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 163 occasions with base runners. Finishing with 154 save situations, the Padres had 85 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They ranked 12th in baseball with a save rate of 65.7%, and they sent 539 relievers onto the diamond last year. San Diego called on relievers to step onto the mound in 67 save chances and they earned 44 saves.

Out of their 12,954 innings on the field, the Padres finished with a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres had 117 double plays and earned a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in the majors). The Padres recorded 1,297 assists, 75 errors and notched a total of 4,318 putouts in the prior season.

During his MLB career, Vasquez has allowed 149 base knocks while he has accumulated 95 punch outs in 135 innings. He has conceded 65 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.450 and a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.02 and he has gone up against 597 batters in his career. Vasquez (6-9 record in his career) has earned a 4.33 earned run average while allowing 9.9 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+162)

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