Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Friday, March 28, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+172) San Diego (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (89-73 last year) are traveling to Petco Park on Friday where they will take on the San Diego Padres (93-69 last season). The odds on this game have Atlanta at +172 while San Diego is at -210. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Reynaldo Lopez and Dylan Cease.

As a team, the Atlanta Braves compiled 4.4 runs per game, which had them at 15th in baseball. They racked up 704 runs and held an on-base percentage of .309. The Braves accumulated 273 doubles as a unit and knocked 213 baseballs out of the park. They had 674 runs batted in and 1,333 base knocks in the previous season, and their team batting average was .243. Atlanta had a slugging percentage of .415 and were rung up 1,461 times, while being walked on 485 occasions.

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The Braves held a team ERA of 3.49 for the previous season (1st in baseball), and the staff rung up 1,553 batters. Braves pitchers conceded 150 long balls and also 607 runs in total (1st in the league). Their pitching staff walked 449 opposing batters and their FIP finished at 3.44 as a unit for the previous season. Atlanta conceded 1,277 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 559 earned runs. They accumulated a K/BB ratio of 3.46 and the pitching staff had a team WHIP of 1.20.

Braves pitchers came into the game with runners on 114 times in addition to having 151 games in high leverage situations. The relievers racked up 67 holds for the prior year (27th in MLB). The Braves relief pitchers recorded a save rate of 64.5% and entered the game in 130 save situations. They tallied 40 saves over the course of the prior season and missed out on 22 out of their 62 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers inherited 159 base runners in the prior season with 29.6% of them crossed the plate. The Braves had sent 481 relievers to the mound for the previous season.

The Atlanta Braves notched a total of 4,330 putouts during the previous year, as well as 1,436 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage finished at .988 which put them in 2nd in professional baseball, and had 131 double plays. The Braves converted 68.9% of balls in play into outs out of their 12,990 innings on the field, which ranked them 23rd in professional baseball.

Lopez has taken the ball for 815 innings and has tallied 765 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 3.93 (356 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.269. He has conceded 743 hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has 291 free passes. Lopez (47-54 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.87 while he has gone up against 3,434 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The San Diego Padres had a team on-base percentage of .324 in addition to a batting average of .263 in the previous season. They were rung up on 1,077 occasions (30th in the league) and recorded 1,456 hits. San Diego recorded 190 home runs over the course of the prior season to go along with 726 RBIs. The Padres held a team slugging percentage of .420 and they scored 4.69 runs per game (8th in MLB). They recorded 259 doubles, while walking 458 times and putting up 760 runs.

The Padres held a team WHIP of 1.222 and were the owners of a FIP of 3.77 as a unit last season. They earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts against 462 bases on balls). They were sitting at 11th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,296. They conceded 169 long balls and they relinquished 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in baseball). The San Diego pitching staff given up 669 runs for the previous season while holding a team ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs yielded).

San Diego relievers had an inherited score rate of 33.3% out of 246 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers came in 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 163 occasions with base runners. With 154 save situations, the Padres earned 85 holds and 23 blown saves. They ranked 12th in the league with a save rate of 65.7%, and they dispatched 539 relievers to the hill last year. San Diego had relief pitchers take the mound in 67 save chances and they walked away with 44 saves.

In their 12,954 innings played, the Padres earned a defensive efficiency of 69.7% (16th in the majors). The San Diego Padres turned 117 double plays and held a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in MLB). The Padres recorded 1,297 assists, 75 errors and accounted for 4,318 putouts last year.

During his pro baseball career, Cease has allowed 702 base hits while tallying 1,016 strikeouts in 847 innings pitched. Cease (57-46 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.75 ERA while giving up 7.5 hits per nine innings. He has given up 353 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.253 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.83 and he has faced 3,582 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (+172)

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