Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 3/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs San Diego Padres

Date: Thursday, March 27, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+125) San Diego (-150)

The Atlanta Braves (89-73 last year) are hitting the road to Petco Park on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the San Diego Padres (93-69 last season). The line on this matchup has Atlanta at +125 and San Diego is opening at -150. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Chris Sale and Michael King.

Atlanta had a slugging % of .415 and were called out on strikes 1,461 times, while taking a walk on 485 occasions. They recorded 674 RBI's as well as 1,333 hits in the previous season, and their average at the plate came in at .243. The Braves tallied 273 doubles as a unit and hit 213 balls out of the stadium. They had a total of 704 runs scored and held an on-base percentage of .309. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves knocked in 4.4 runs per game, which had them sitting at 15th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio was 3.46 and the pitching staff finished with a WHIP of 1.20. Braves pitchers allowed 150 home runs and also 607 total runs (1st in baseball). Atlanta surrendered 1,277 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 559 earned runs. The Braves compiled a team earned run average of 3.49 over the course of last year (1st in baseball), and the staff struck out 1,553 hitters. Their pitching staff walked 449 hitters and their FIP came in at 3.44 as a unit in the previous season.

The Braves had dispatched 481 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the prior season. The bullpen inherited 159 runners last season and 29.6% of those players ended up scoring. They earned 40 saves for the previous season and blew 22 of their 62 save chances. The Braves relief pitchers had a save rate of 64.5% and entered the game in 130 save situations. The relief pitchers notched 67 holds for the prior year (27th in baseball). Braves bullpen pitchers entered the contest with runners on base 114 times in addition to having 151 games in high leverage situations.

The Braves converted 68.9% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 12,990 innings, which had them sitting 23rd in the majors. The Atlanta Braves earned a total of 4,330 putouts in the prior season, as well as 1,436 assists and 68 errors. Their fielding percentage held steady at .988 which was 2nd in MLB, and had a total of 131 double plays.

Sale has taken the ball for 1,958 innings and has tallied 2,414 punch outs in his career. His ERA is 3.04 (661 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.044. He has surrendered 1,590 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 455 walks. Sale (138-83 career mark) holds a FIP of 2.99 while he has gone up against 7,879 hitters in the majors.

The Padres had a slugging percentage of .420 and they were recording 4.69 runs per contest (8th in baseball). They tallied 259 doubles, while taking a walk 458 times as well as putting up 760 runs. San Diego had a total of 190 home runs over the course of the prior season to go along with 726 runs batted in. They were rung up on 1,077 occasions (30th in baseball) and had 1,456 hits. The San Diego Padres had an on-base percentage of .324 as well as a batting average of .263 for the previous season.

The San Diego pitching staff conceded 669 runs for the prior year while holding an ERA of 3.86 (617 earned runs conceded). They relinquished 169 home runs and they surrender 4.18 runs per 9 innings (10th in the league). The Padres had a WHIP of 1.222 with a FIP of 3.77 as a pitching staff during the previous year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sat at 9.10 (1,453 strikeouts vs 462 free passes). They were ranked 11th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,296.

San Diego had relievers enter the contest in 67 save chances and they earned 44 saves. They were ranked 12th in the league with a save rate of 65.7%, and they sent 539 relievers to the mound last year. Their bullpen pitchers came in 151 times in high leverage situations and also on 163 occasions with runners on. San Diego bullpen pitchers had an inherited score percentage of 33.3% of 246 inherited base runners. Finishing with 154 save situations, the Padres recorded 85 holds and also 23 blown saves.

The San Diego Padres had 117 double plays and owned a fielding percentage of .987 (6th in MLB). The Padres had 1,297 assists, 75 errors and had 4,318 putouts for the prior year. In 12,954 innings played, the Padres accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.7% (16th in professional baseball).

King (26-26 record in his career) has earned a 3.21 earned run average while giving up 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.31 and he has faced 1,761 batters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed 150 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.192 and a FIP of 3.2. So far in his career, King has given up 356 hits while tallying 483 punch outs in 421 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Atlanta (+125)

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