Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies Prediction, 4/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies

Date: Monday, April 28, 2025

Location: Coors Field in Denver, CO

TV: Rockies.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (-275) Colorado (+220)

Coors Field is where the Colorado Rockies (4-20) will try to defeat the Atlanta Braves (10-14) on Monday. The line on this matchup has Atlanta at -275 and Colorado is at +220. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be AJ Smith-Shawver and Tanner Gordon.

The Braves have tallied 29 two-baggers as a team and have hit 32 balls out of the park. Atlanta owns a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 216 times, while being walked on 84 occasions. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are notching 3.8 runs per game, which has them at 22nd in the league. They have recorded 89 runs batted in in addition to 187 hits this year, while their team batting average comes in at .236. They have accumulated 92 runs scored while having a team OBP of .313.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34. Braves pitchers have surrendered 30 home runs and also 104 runs in total (12th in baseball). Atlanta has given up 192 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 101 earned runs. The Braves hold a team ERA of 4.38 on the season (24th in baseball), and they have rung up 196 batters. They have walked 86 batters and their FIP is 4.37 as a squad this season.

Braves bullpen pitchers have entered the game with players on base 25 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 7 holds for the season (29th in the league). The Braves bullpen have recorded a save rate of 50.0% and have entered the game in 15 save situations. They have earned 4 saves over the course of the season and have blown 4 out of their 8 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 36 runners on the year and 36.1% of those runners crossed home plate. The Braves have sent 75 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Braves have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,866 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 14th in pro baseball. The Athletics are sitting with 622 putouts for the season, in addition to 204 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .988 which has them ranked 11th in MLB, and they have turned 15 double plays.

Smith-Shawver has taken the ball for 42 frames and has tallied 41 K's during his career. His earned run average is 4.03 (19 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.415. He has conceded 39 base hits (8.3 hits per 9 innings) with 21 free passes. Smith-Shawver (1-2 career mark) has a FIP of 3.97 and he has gone up against 188 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Colorado Rockies have an OBP of .287 and a team batting average of .213 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 257 occasions (2nd in the league) and have a total of 169 base knocks. Colorado has recorded 19 HRs so far this season and 76 RBIs. The Rockies have a SLG% of .345 and they earn 3.21 runs per game (28th in the league). They have notched 36 doubles, while getting a free base 72 times as well as scoring 77 runs.

The Rockies have a WHIP of 1.563 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.84 as a unit so far this season. They come in at 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 232. The Colorado pitching staff have yielded 136 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 5.07 (116 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 7.00 (161 strikeouts vs 90 bases on balls). They have yielded 31 homers and they allow 5.94 runs per 9 innings (30th in baseball).

Colorado bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 29.1% out of their 55 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 23 times in high leverage situations in addition to 31 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 16 save situations, the Rockies have 8 holds and also 5 blown saves. They sit at 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 37.5%, and they have dispatched 81 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the season. Colorado has had relief pitchers take the mound in 8 save chances and they have tallied 3 saves.

The Colorado Rockies have turned 22 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .976 (28th in professional baseball). The Rockies have accrued 245 assists, 21 errors and have accumulated 618 putouts for the year. Out of their 1,854 innings on the field, the Rockies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 66.1% (30th in MLB).

Gordon (0-6 mark in his career) has a 8.71 ERA while conceding 14.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.33 and he has faced 160 batters during his MLB career. He has given up 33 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.730 and being the owner of a FIP of 8.6. Thus far in his career, Gordon has given up 53 base hits while he has earned 26 punch outs in 34 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Colorado (+220)

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