Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks
Date: Sunday, April 27, 2025
Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ
TV: DBACKS.TV
Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+106) Arizona (-128)
The Atlanta Braves (10-14) are on their way to Chase Field on Sunday where they will play the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-11). The moneyline on this contest has the Braves at +106 while the Diamondbacks are at -128. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Spencer Schwellenbach and Brandon Pfaadt.


As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are compiling 3.8 runs per outing, which is 22nd in baseball. They have 92 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. The Braves have accumulated 29 two-baggers as a team and have hit 32 baseballs out of the stadium. They have recorded 89 RBI's and 187 hits for the season, while their team batting average is .236. Atlanta has a slugging percentage of .396 and have struck out 216 times, while taking a walk on 84 occasions.
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Their K/BB ratio is 2.28 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.34. Braves pitchers have yielded 30 home runs and also 104 runs in total (12th in baseball). Atlanta has allowed 192 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 101 earned runs. The Braves have a team ERA of 4.38 this season (24th in the league), and their staff has rung up 196 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 86 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.37 as a team this season.
The Braves relievers have a save rate of 50.0% and have come into the game in 15 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners on the year and 36.1% of those players earned a run for their team. Braves pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 25 times as well as having 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The Braves have sent 75 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen have notched 7 holds for the season (29th in the league). They have compiled 4 saves on the campaign and have blown 4 of their 8 save chances.
The Athletics have earned a total of 622 putouts this season, in addition to 204 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .988 which is 11th in baseball, and have a total of 15 double plays. The Braves have turned 70.5% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 1,866 innings on the field, ranking them 14th in MLB.
Schwellenbach has taken the mound for 154 innings and has totaled 154 strikeouts thus far in his career. Schwellenbach (9-8 career mark) has a FIP of 3.16 while going up against 624 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.21 (55 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.023. He has given up 130 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 28 walks.
The Diamondbacks hold a slugging percentage of .439 and they average 5.40 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have put up 50 two-baggers, while taking a walk 109 times and recording 135 runs. Arizona has a total of 35 long balls so far this year as well as 131 RBIs. They have been rung up on 184 occasions (26th in MLB) and are sitting with 207 base knocks. The Arizona Diamondbacks have an OBP of .337 and a batting average of .247 on the year.
The Diamondbacks have a WHIP of 1.218 and have a FIP of 3.75 as a team so far this season. They are sitting at 19th in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 202. The Arizona pitching staff have surrendered 118 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.28 (107 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 9.20 (231 strikeouts against 72 bases on balls). They have surrendered 29 long balls and they allow 4.72 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB).
Sitting with 25 save situations, the Diamondbacks have accumulated 14 holds and 4 blown saves. Arizona has had relief pitchers enter the game in 11 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relief pitchers have come in 24 times in high leverage situations and also on 21 occasions with base runners. Arizona bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 29.2% of 24 inherited runners. They rank 15th in baseball holding a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have dispatched 75 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this year.
In their 2,025 innings on the field, the Diamondbacks have a efficiency on defense of 69.6% (20th in MLB). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 16 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (21st in baseball). The Diamondbacks have 224 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 675 putouts during this campaign.
Pfaadt (18-20 mark in his career) has a 4.85 earned run average while allowing 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.14 and he has gone up against 1,296 batters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 165 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.273 and a FIP of 4.8. In his MLB career, Pfaadt has surrendered 317 hits while he has earned 302 punch outs in 306 frames.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Arizona (-128) and under 8.5 runs
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Additional Resources:
Arizona Diamondbacks - Twitter
Atlanta Braves - Twitter