Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 4/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Atlanta Braves vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Saturday, April 26, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Atlanta (+220) Arizona (-275)

The Atlanta Braves (10-14) are traveling to Chase Field on Saturday where they will compete against the Arizona Diamondbacks (14-10). The moneyline on this matchup has Atlanta at +220 and Arizona is coming in at -275. The total is set at 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Grant Holmes and Merrill Kelly.

Atlanta is slugging .396 and have struck out 216 times, while drawing a walk on 84 occasions. They have earned 89 RBI's and 187 hits for the season, and their batting average is at .236. The Braves have accumulated 29 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 32 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 92 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. As a unit, the Atlanta Braves are recording 3.8 runs per outing, which puts them at 22nd in baseball.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.28 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.34. Braves pitchers have conceded 30 home runs in addition to 104 total runs (12th in the league). Atlanta has yielded 192 base knocks (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 101 earned runs. The Braves have compiled a team earned run average of 4.38 so far this year (24th in the league), and their staff has struck out 196 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 86 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.38 as a squad on the year.

Braves relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 25 times and also have had 32 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have 7 holds over the course of the season (29th in the league). The Braves bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 50.0% and have entered the game in 15 save situations. They have recorded 4 saves on the season and have not converted 4 out of their 8 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners on the season with 36.1% of those runners crossed the plate. The Braves have sent 75 relievers to the hill this year.

The Braves have turned 70.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 1,866 innings on the diamond, ranking them 14th in MLB. The Athletics have accumulated 622 putouts this year, as well as 204 assists and 10 errors. Their fielding rate is at .988 which ranks 10th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 15 double plays.

Holmes has thrown 90 innings and is sitting with 92 K's during his career. His earned run average is 3.49 (35 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.197. He has conceded 79 base hits (7.9 hits per nine innings) and has 29 free passes. Holmes (4-2 career mark) has a FIP of 3.44 and he has gone up against 375 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

The Diamondbacks have a SLG% of .445 and they score 5.46 runs per contest (3rd in the league). They have put up 49 doubles, while getting a free base 106 times and recording 131 runs. Arizona has accounted for 34 long balls this season and 127 RBIs. They have been rung up on 177 instances (28th in baseball) and have accounted for 201 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks have accumulated an OBP of .340 and a team batting average of .250 this season.

The Arizona pitching staff have yielded 111 runs for the year while having an ERA of 4.31 (103 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 28 long balls and they surrender 4.65 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Diamondbacks are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.219 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.84 as a squad so far this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (215 strikeouts against 69 bases on balls). They sit at 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 193.

With 23 save situations, the Diamondbacks have 13 holds and also 3 blown saves. Arizona has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 10 save opportunities and they have walked away with 7 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 21 times in high leverage situations in addition to 18 occasions with runners on. Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of 20 inherited base runners. They are ranked 10th in baseball holding a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 71 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

Out of their 1,935 innings played, the Diamondbacks are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (16th in pro baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have turned 15 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in the majors). The Diamondbacks have accrued 217 assists, 13 errors and have notched a total of 645 putouts this year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Kelly has given up 770 base hits while he has tallied 765 K's in 850 innings. Kelly (56-45 record in his career) has a 3.85 ERA and has surrendered 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 364 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.215 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.91 and he has gone up against 3,507 hitters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Arizona (-275) and under 9 runs

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