Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Arizona Diamondbacks vs New York Yankees

Date: Thursday, April 3, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Arizona (+125) New York (-150)

The New York Yankees (3-1) host the Arizona Diamondbacks (3-2) at Yankee Stadium on Thursday. The odds on this game have the Diamondbacks at +125 while the Yankees are sitting at -150. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Merrill Kelly and Carlos Carrasco.

The Diamondbacks have accrued 16 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 7 balls out of the stadium. Arizona has a slugging percentage of .515 and have been rung up 35 times, while drawing a walk on 22 occasions. As a team, the Arizona Diamondbacks are putting up 6.8 runs per game, which ranks them 2nd in MLB. They have accounted for 34 RBI's in addition to 51 hits over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .298. They have earned a total of 34 runs while holding a team OBP of .382.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.22. Diamondbacks pitchers have surrendered 9 home runs and 26 runs (19th in baseball). Arizona has surrendered 37 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 24 earned runs. The Diamondbacks have compiled a team ERA of 4.80 so far this season (22nd in MLB), and the staff has rung up 48 hitters. They have walked 18 opposing players and their FIP is 4.52 as a unit on the campaign.

Diamondbacks bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 3 times in addition to having 0 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have accumulated 1 hold over the course of the season (24th in MLB). The Diamondbacks relievers have earned a save rate of 100.0% and stepped onto the hill in 2 save situations. They have accumulated 1 save so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 3 runners this year. The Diamondbacks have sent 17 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Arizona Diamondbacks have notched a total of 135 putouts thus far, in addition to 45 assists and 7 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .963 which is 30th in the majors, and have 1 double play. The Diamondbacks have transformed 72.3% of balls in play into outs in their 405 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in baseball.

Kelly (53-44 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.77 while going up against 3,395 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 750 base knocks (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 252 free passes. His ERA is 3.82 (350 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.216. Kelly has taken the ball for 824 frames and has racked up 744 punch outs during his MLB career.

New York has hit 18 home runs this year as well as 38 runs batted in. They have recorded 4 doubles, while getting a free base 19 times as well as putting up 41 runs. The New York Yankees have an OBP of .381 and a team batting average of .289 on the campaign. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .719 and they are earning 10.25 runs per game (1st in MLB). They have struck out on 35 occasions (26th in baseball) and have accounted for 39 hits.

The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.278 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.69 as a unit for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 10.80 (43 strikeouts vs 15 walks). They rank 8th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 31. They have yielded 5 long balls and they allow 5.25 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have conceded 21 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.25 (17 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 7 save situations, the Yankees have earned 5 holds and also 1 blown save. New York has had relief pitchers take the mound in 2 save chances and they have earned 1 save. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 3 times in high leverage situations and on 5 occasions with base runners. New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 16.7% of 6 inherited base runners. They rank 19th in the league with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have sent 16 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this season.

In their 324 innings played, the Yankees have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.5% (19th in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 1 double play and own a fielding percentage of .966 (29th in professional baseball). The Yankees have accrued 32 assists, 5 errors and have 108 putouts for the season.

During his career, Carrasco has given up 1,612 base knocks while totaling 1,662 punch outs in 1,641 innings. He has allowed 756 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.257 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.69 and he has gone up against 6,861 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. Carrasco (110-103 career mark) has a 4.15 earned run average while allowing 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Arizona (+125)

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