Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 6/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Saturday, June 29, 2024

Location: Tropicana Field in St. Petersburg, FL

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+125) Tampa Bay (-146)

Tropicana Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (40-41) will take on the Washington Nationals (38-42) on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Nationals at +125 while the Rays are opening at -146. The over/under is 7. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jake Irvin and Aaron Civale.

Washington is slugging .367 and have struck out 615 times, while drawing a walk on 231 occasions. They have earned 314 RBI's as well as 620 hits on the campaign, while their average at the plate comes in at .236. The Nationals have accrued 127 doubles as a team and have hit 67 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 332 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .304. As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.2 runs per game, which has them sitting at 19th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.29. Nationals pitchers have allowed 72 home runs in addition to 347 runs in total (14th in MLB). Washington has conceded 686 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) and 315 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team ERA of 4.01 this year (16th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 640 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 224 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 3.72 as a squad for the year.

The Nationals relievers have recorded a save rate of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 85 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 100 base runners over the course of the season and 38.0% of those players ended up scoring. Nationals pitchers have entered the game with runners on 70 times and also have had 74 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 273 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have racked up 52 holds for the year (5th in MLB). They have tallied 22 saves for the year and have blown 11 out of their 33 chances to save the game.

The Nationals have turned 68.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 6,366 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in baseball. The Washington Nationals are sitting with 2,122 putouts this year, in addition to 717 assists and 43 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which is 15th in pro baseball, and have accumulated 77 double plays.

Irvin has pitched in 213 innings and is sitting with 180 K's during his career. His ERA is 3.97 (94 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.277. He has given up 198 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 74 walks. Irvin (8-13 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 3.91 while going up against 898 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

Tampa Bay has 70 HRs for the season to go along with 306 runs batted in. They have recorded 123 two-baggers, while taking a walk 255 times as well as earning 328 runs. The Tampa Bay Rays are sitting with a team OBP of .310 and a batting average of .236 over the course of the season. The Rays have a team SLG% of .366 and they average 4.05 runs per contest (23rd in the league). They have struck out on 731 occasions (6th in the league) and have totaled 641 hits.

The Rays have a WHIP of 1.259 with a FIP of 4.33 as a squad this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (709 strikeouts vs 231 free passes). They are currently ranked 23rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 688. They have allowed 113 long balls and they surrender 4.73 runs per 9 innings (23rd in the league). The Tampa Bay pitching staff have given up 384 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 4.35 (353 earned runs surrendered).

Tampa Bay relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 30.9% of 94 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 121 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with runners on. With 90 save situations, the Rays have 46 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They sit at 19th in the league holding a save rate of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 276 relievers to the hill for the season. Tampa Bay has called on relief pitchers to step onto the hill in 42 save opportunities and they have tallied 25 saves.

In 6,573 innings on the field, the Rays have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.1% (14th in MLB). The Tampa Bay Rays have turned 55 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (10th in the majors). The Rays have 620 assists, 39 errors and have 2,191 putouts this season.

During his career, Civale has allowed 523 hits while earning 510 strikeouts in 556 frames. Civale (33-31 career record) holds a 4.11 ERA while giving up 8.5 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded a total of 254 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.194 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.62 and he has gone up against 2,301 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+125)

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