Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/17/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, September 17, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+158) New York (-193)

The New York Mets (81-68) host the Washington Nationals (68-81) at Citi Field on Tuesday. The moneyline on this matchup has Washington at +158 while New York is at -193. The total is O7.5. The starting pitchers are Mitchell Parker and Tylor Megill.

Washington is slugging .379 and have struck out 1,114 times, while being walked on 424 occasions. They have tallied 586 runs batted in and 1,206 base knocks so far this year, while their average at the plate comes in at .244. The Nationals have accrued 255 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 127 baseballs out of the park. They have tallied 624 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .311. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.2 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 22nd in the league.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.80 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.34. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 154 home runs in addition to 705 runs in total (24th in the league). Washington has given up 1,330 base hits (9.1 per 9 innings) and also 628 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 4.28 over the course of the season (23rd in MLB), and they have rung up 1,213 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 433 opposing players and their FIP is 3.92 as a team this year.

The Nationals relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 66.7% and has stepped onto the mound in 140 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 207 runners on the season with 35.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. Nationals pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 144 times and also have had 128 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 523 relievers to the mound on the season. The relief pitchers have recorded 80 holds this year (12th in the league). They have recorded 40 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 20 of their 60 chances to get a save.

The Washington Nationals have 3,962 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,317 assists and 105 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .980 which has them ranked 28th in baseball, and they have turned 144 double plays. The Nationals have turned 67.2% of balls in play into outs out of their 11,886 innings, which has them sitting at 29th in the majors.

Parker (7-9 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.18 and he has faced 605 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has conceded 142 base knocks (9.0 hits per 9 innings) with 39 walks. His ERA is 4.24 (67 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.274. Parker has taken the ball for 142 innings and has earned 127 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .319 and a team batting average of .247 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 1,272 occasions (15th in baseball) and are sitting with 1,255 hits. New York has knocked in 189 long balls for the season as well as 676 RBIs. The Mets have a team SLG% of .416 and they tally 4.75 runs per contest (8th in MLB). They have 264 two-baggers, while getting a free base 472 times and racking up 708 runs.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.267 and have a FIP of 4.11 as a unit so far this season. Their K/BB ratio sits at 9.00 (1,327 strikeouts against 545 walks). They sit at 3rd in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,138. They have surrendered 154 home runs and they give up 4.36 runs per 9 innings (15th in baseball). The New York pitching staff have surrendered 644 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.96 (585 earned runs conceded).

With 157 save situations, the Mets have tallied 94 holds and also 24 blown saves. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 61 save chances and they have walked away with 37 saves. Their relievers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 147 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% of 197 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in MLB with a save percentage of 60.7%, and they have sent 474 relievers to the hill for the season.

In their 11,955 innings on the field, the Mets have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 70.4% (12th in pro baseball). The New York Mets have turned 122 double plays and have a fielding rate of .983 (24th in pro baseball). The Mets have 1,294 assists, 89 errors and have earned a total of 3,987 putouts for the year.

Megill (20-21 career record) is the owner of a 4.68 ERA while giving up 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.65 and he has gone up against 1,416 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 169 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.399 and a FIP of 4.6. Thus far in his career, Megill has allowed 331 base knocks while tallying 328 K's in 325 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take New York (-193)

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