Washington Nationals vs New York Mets Prediction, 7/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs New York Mets

Date: Thursday, July 11, 2024

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+180) New York (-215)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (45-45) will take on the Washington Nationals (42-50) on Thursday. The odds on this game have Washington at +180 while New York is at -215. The over/under has been set at 9.5. The starting pitchers are MacKenzie Gore and David Peterson.

The Nationals have accounted for 150 doubles as a team and have smacked 77 baseballs out of the park. Washington has a slugging % of .370 and have been rung up 702 times, while taking a walk on 268 occasions. As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 19th in baseball. They have amassed 363 RBI's in addition to 726 hits this year, and their average at the plate comes in at .239. They have notched a total of 386 runs scored and have an OBP of .307.

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The Nationals have an earned run average of 4.06 on the campaign (17th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 745 hitters. Nationals pitchers have given up 91 long balls and also 411 runs (19th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 252 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.81 as a squad for the season. Washington has given up 794 hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 368 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.96 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.28.

Nationals relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 83 times in addition to having 86 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 58 holds for the year (7th in MLB). The Nationals relievers have compiled a save rate of 63.2% and has entered the game in 96 save situations. They have recorded 24 saves over the course of the season and have blown 14 out of their 38 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 115 runners this year with 36.5% of those players earned a run for their team. The Nationals have dispatched 311 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,449 putouts for the season, in addition to 807 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .985 which has them ranked 19th in baseball, and have accumulated 84 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 7,347 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 27th in MLB.

Gore has pitched in 300 innings and has earned 335 K's during his career. Gore (17-21 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.19 while he has gone up against 1,306 batters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.26 (142 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.430. He has surrendered 301 base hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 128 walks.

The Mets hold a team slugging % of .415 and they tally 4.81 runs per outing (8th in the league). They have put up 165 doubles, while taking a walk 283 times and scoring 433 runs. New York has knocked in 113 home runs so far this year to go along with 417 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 723 occasions (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 770 base hits. The New York Mets have earned a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .248 this season.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.317 and have a FIP of 4.22 as a staff this year. They sit at 9th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 717. The New York pitching staff have yielded 433 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.25 (382 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.60 (773 strikeouts vs 347 walks). They have given up 92 HR's and they relinquish 4.82 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).

New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save chances and they have earned 22 saves. They sit at 21st in baseball holding a save percentage of 57.9%, and they have sent 297 relievers to the hill for the season. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 112 times in high leverage situations and on 99 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 37.2% out of their 129 inherited base runners. With 98 save situations, the Mets have recorded 60 holds and also 16 blown saves.

In 7,275 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (16th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 81 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 792 assists, 61 errors and have accumulated 2,425 putouts for the season.

During his career, Peterson has surrendered 356 base knocks and he has 390 K's in 370 innings pitched. Peterson (21-21 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 4.43 earned run average and has given up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 182 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.415 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.4. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.34 and he has gone up against 1,604 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+180)

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