Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/12/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, May 12, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+130) Boston (-154)

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (19-19) will try to defeat the Washington Nationals (19-18) on Sunday. The line on this contest has the Nationals at +130 while the Red Sox are priced at -154. The over/under comes in at 8. The starting pitchers will be MacKenzie Gore and Brayan Bello.

Washington has a slugging rate of .364 and have struck out 302 times, while drawing a walk on 128 occasions. They have 143 runs batted in in addition to 285 base knocks this season, while their team batting average sits at .232. The Nationals have accumulated 59 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 32 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 156 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .313. As a squad, the Washington Nationals are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which ranks them 18th in MLB.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.53 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.38. Nationals pitchers have allowed 25 home runs and 160 total runs (13th in the league). Washington has given up 337 base hits (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 142 earned runs. The Nationals have compiled a team ERA of 3.86 on the campaign (14th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 301 batters. They have walked 119 opposing players and their FIP is 3.44 as a team over the course of the season.

The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 66.7% and stepped onto the hill in 50 save situations. The relievers have inherited 49 runners on the year and 34.7% of them ended up scoring. Nationals relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 37 times as well as having 45 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 140 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers are sitting with 32 holds this season (3rd in the league). They have compiled 12 saves on the season and have blown 6 of 18 chances to save the game.

The Washington Nationals have a total of 993 putouts this season, in addition to 360 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which has them sitting 12th in baseball, and have accumulated 39 double plays. The Nationals have transformed 66.2% of balls in play into outs out of 2,979 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 30th in professional baseball.

Gore (13-17 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.41 and he has faced 1,040 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 239 hits (9.0 hits per nine innings) with 105 free passes. His ERA is 4.31 (115 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.431. Gore has taken the ball for 240 innings and has racked up 265 strikeouts in his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox have earned an on-base percentage of .320 as well as a team batting average of .245 over the course of the season. They have been called out on strikes on 378 occasions (2nd in the league) and have totaled 318 base hits. Boston has 38 HRs on the campaign as well as 159 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .401 and they are earning 4.34 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have recorded 68 doubles, while getting a free base 129 times and putting up 165 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.121 and have a FIP of 3.44 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (315 strikeouts against 95 bases on balls). They sit at 7th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 285. They have surrendered 30 homers and they give up 3.58 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have allowed 135 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 2.79 (105 earned runs relinquished).

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% of 35 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 42 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. With 34 save situations, the Red Sox have 18 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 53.3%, and they have sent 119 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves.

In 3,054 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (10th in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 27 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in professional baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 333 assists, 28 errors and have earned a total of 1,018 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Bello has surrendered 261 base hits while he has totaled 213 strikeouts in 241 innings pitched. Bello (17-20 career mark) has a 4.22 earned run average while allowing 9.7 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 113 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.411 and a FIP of 4.1. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.70 and he has gone up against 1,046 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+130)

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