Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, May 11, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+188) Boston (-225)

The Washington Nationals (18-18) are traveling to Fenway Park on Saturday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (19-18). The line on this contest has the Nationals at +188 and the Red Sox are coming in at -225. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Jake Irvin and Cooper Criswell.

Washington owns a slugging percentage of .366 and have been called out on strikes 294 times, while drawing a walk on 126 occasions. They have recorded 139 runs batted in and 277 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is sitting at .231. The Nationals have accrued 57 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 32 balls out of the park. They have earned a total of 151 runs and hold an OBP of .313. As a unit, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.2 runs/g, which has them at 18th in MLB.

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The Nationals have an earned run average of 3.94 this year (15th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 292 hitters. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 25 home runs and 159 total runs (15th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 114 hitters and their FIP comes in at 3.47 as a team this year. Washington has yielded 328 base knocks (9.2 per 9 innings) as well as 141 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.56 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.37.

The Nationals relievers have recorded a save percentage of 66.7% and has come into the game in 46 save situations. The relievers have inherited 46 runners for the season with 37.0% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Nationals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 36 times as well as having 42 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have dispatched 135 relief pitchers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have a total of 28 holds on the season (5th in baseball). They have compiled 12 saves on the campaign and have blown 6 of their 18 save opportunities.

The Washington Nationals have 966 putouts for the season, as well as 350 assists and 20 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .985 which ranks 15th in the majors, and they have turned 38 double plays. The Nationals have converted 66.3% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 2,898 innings, which ranks them 30th in baseball.

Irvin (132-113 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.78 while he has faced 8,544 opposing hitters in the majors. He has allowed 1,865 base knocks (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 735 free passes. His ERA is 3.99 (885 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.302. Irvin has thrown 1,996 frames and has totaled 1,913 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .244 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 369 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have totaled 309 base knocks. Boston has hit 38 long balls so far this year to go along with 158 runs batted in. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .402 and they tally 4.43 runs per contest (15th in the league). They have notched 65 doubles, while taking a walk 124 times as well as racking up 164 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have given up 130 runs so far this year while having an ERA of 2.73 (100 earned runs yielded). They have given up 30 long balls and they concede 3.54 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.121 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.48 as a pitching staff on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.40 (307 strikeouts against 93 walks). They come in at 7th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 277.

Boston has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 15 save chances and they have come away with 8 saves. They are ranked 25th in MLB with a save rate of 53.3%, and they have sent 117 relievers to the mound on the campaign. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 42 times in high leverage situations in addition to 28 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of 35 inherited base runners. Sitting with 34 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 18 holds in addition to 7 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 27 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .980 (28th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 321 assists, 27 errors and have earned a total of 991 putouts for the season. In their 2,973 innings played, the Red Sox hold a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (8th in pro baseball).

In his MLB career, Criswell has allowed 1,119 base hits and he has 1,167 punch outs in 1,153 innings. Criswell (70-65 record in his career) holds a 4.38 ERA while giving up 8.7 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 562 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.303 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.04 and he has faced 4,898 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Washington (+188)

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