Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/10/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, May 10, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: MASN

The Washington Nationals (18-18) are hitting the road to Fenway Park on Friday where they will take on the Boston Red Sox (19-18). The expected starting pitchers will be Patrick Corbin and Tanner Houck.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are compiling 4.2 runs per outing, which has them at 18th in baseball. They have accumulated 151 runs while holding a team OBP of .313. The Nationals have accumulated 57 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 32 balls out of the park. They have 139 runs batted in and 277 hits on the season, and their batting average sits at .231. Washington has a slugging percentage of .366 and have struck out 294 times, while drawing a walk on 126 occasions.

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The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.98 over the course of the season (15th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 281 hitters. Nationals pitchers have conceded 22 home runs and 152 total runs (15th in baseball). They have walked 112 batters and their FIP is 3.38 as a team so far this season. Washington has surrendered 318 base knocks (9.2 per 9 innings) and 137 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.51 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.39.

The Nationals have dispatched 135 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 46 runners over the course of the season and 37.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have earned 12 saves so far this year and have not converted 6 of 18 save opportunities. The Nationals bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 66.7% and has entered the game in 46 save situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 28 holds on the campaign (5th in baseball). Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 36 times as well as having 42 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals are sitting with 930 putouts on the campaign, as well as 335 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them ranked 12th in baseball, and have a total of 35 double plays. The Nationals have converted 66.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 2,790 innings on the field, which has them sitting 30th in the majors.

Corbin has taken the mound for 1,755 innings and has accounted for 1,615 punch outs during his career. Corbin (97-121 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.11 while facing 7,556 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.45 (867 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.369. He has allowed 1,863 base hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 540 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox hold a team on-base percentage of .319 in addition to a team batting average of .244 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 369 instances (2nd in MLB) and have earned 309 base hits. Boston has hit 38 home runs over the course of the season as well as 158 RBIs. The Red Sox have a SLG% of .402 and they earn 4.43 runs per outing (15th in baseball). They have hit 65 doubles, while walking 124 times and putting up 164 runs.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.115 in addition to having a FIP of 3.35 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (304 strikeouts against 91 walks). They come in at 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 268. They have conceded 27 long balls and they relinquish 3.49 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 125 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 2.65 (95 earned runs yielded).

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.3% out of their 35 inherited base runners. Their relievers have taken the field 42 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on base. With 34 save situations, the Red Sox have accumulated 18 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are ranked 25th in MLB holding a save percentage of 53.3%, and they have dispatched 117 relief pitchers to the mound on the season. Boston has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 15 save chances and they have walked away with 8 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 26 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .979 (28th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 315 assists, 27 errors and have a tally of 967 putouts this year. In 2,901 innings played, the Red Sox have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (9th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Houck has surrendered 253 hits while he has accumulated 309 K's in 297 innings. Houck (18-22 career record) has a 3.57 earned run average while surrendering 7.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 118 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.09 and he has faced 1,239 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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