Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 5/4/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Washington Nationals

Date: Saturday, May 4, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-180) Washington (+150)

Nationals Park is the site where the Washington Nationals (15-16) will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (15-17) on Saturday. The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -180 while the Nationals are sitting at +150. The total is set at 9.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Kevin Gausman and Jake Irvin.

The Blue Jays have hit 50 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 28 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging % of .361 and have struck out 238 times, while being walked on 112 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are earning 3.5 runs/g, which is 28th in the league. They have 103 runs batted in as well as 229 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average sits at .225. They have 111 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .309.

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The Blue Jays hold a team ERA of 4.34 on the year (23rd in the league), and their staff has struck out 247 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 42 long balls in addition to 142 total runs (21st in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 103 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.56 as a squad over the course of the season. Toronto has relinquished 270 base hits (8.8 per 9 innings) and 133 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.40 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.35.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 101 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have inherited 53 runners so far this year and 26.4% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 9 saves for the year and have blown 1 out of their 10 save opportunities. The Blue Jays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 90.0% and has entered the game in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 19 holds on the year (11th in MLB). Blue Jays pitchers have come into the game with players on base 35 times and also have had 15 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,484 innings, ranking them 18th in MLB. The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with 828 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 276 assists and 16 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them ranked 11th in professional baseball, and they have turned 27 double plays.

Gausman has taken the hill for 1,565 innings and is sitting with 1,626 K's so far in his career. Gausman (89-94 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.61 and he has gone up against 6,578 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.85 (670 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.266. He has surrendered 1,547 base knocks (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 435 walks.

The Nationals have a team slugging percentage of .361 and they are earning 3.84 runs per game (20th in baseball). They have recorded 47 two-baggers, while getting a free base 98 times and putting up 119 runs. Washington has 27 long balls this year to go along with 110 RBIs. They have struck out on 247 instances (23rd in baseball) and have recorded 233 hits. The Washington Nationals have recorded an on-base percentage of .305 and a team batting average of .228 this season.

The Washington pitching staff have allowed 135 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 4.24 (129 earned runs yielded). They have allowed 20 long balls and they relinquish 4.43 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.427 and have a FIP of 3.43 as a staff this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.10 (248 strikeouts vs 101 free passes). They are currently ranked 28th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 290.

Washington relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 34.1% out of their 41 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 35 times in high leverage situations and also on 30 occasions with runners on. With 38 save situations, the Nationals have amassed 23 holds and 5 blown saves. They sit at 16th in baseball holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 112 relievers to the mound on the year. Washington has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 15 save opportunities and they have walked away with 10 saves.

In 2,466 innings played, the Nationals have a efficiency on defense of 65.7% (30th in pro baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 33 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .992 (2nd in the majors). The Nationals have 296 assists, 9 errors and have earned 822 putouts for the year.

Irvin (5-9 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.54 ERA while conceding 8.8 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 2.05 and he has gone up against 665 batters in his career. He has given up 78 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.371 and a FIP of 4.9. In his career, Irvin has surrendered 151 base knocks and he has 125 strikeouts in 154 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Washington (+150)

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