Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals Prediction, 4/25/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Kansas City Royals

Date: Thursday, April 25, 2024

Location: Kauffman Stadium in Kansas City, MO

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-110) Kansas City (-106)

The Toronto Blue Jays (13-11) are hitting the road to Kauffman Stadium on Thursday where they will attempt to defeat the Kansas City Royals (14-10). The moneyline on this matchup has the Blue Jays at -110 while the Royals are sitting at -106. The over/under is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Jose Berrios and Cole Ragans.

The Blue Jays have accounted for 42 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 21 baseballs out of the park. Toronto is slugging .374 and have struck out 173 times, while drawing a walk on 89 occasions. As a unit, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 3.9 runs per contest, which ranks them 21st in baseball. They have amassed 86 RBI's as well as 183 base knocks over the course of the season, while their average at the plate is .235. They have earned a total of 93 runs scored while having a team OBP of .320.

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The Blue Jays have an earned run average of 4.18 this year (22nd in the league), and they have rung up 208 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 33 home runs and 105 runs (18th in MLB). They have walked 83 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.53 as a unit so far this season. Toronto has given up 196 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) and also 97 earned runs. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.33.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 27 times as well as having 11 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 14 holds so far this year (14th in the league). The Blue Jays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 87.5% and has come into the game in 22 save situations. They have earned 7 saves on the year and have blown 1 out of their 8 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 36 base runners this year and 33.3% of those players crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have dispatched 74 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Blue Jays have turned 69.5% of balls in play into outs out of their 1,881 innings, which has them sitting 19th in baseball. The Toronto Blue Jays have earned 627 putouts so far this season, in addition to 203 assists and 11 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 7th in MLB, and they have turned 23 double plays.

Berrios has pitched in 1,245 innings and has 1,217 punch outs so far in his MLB career. Berrios (87-66 career record) has a FIP of 4.03 while he has gone up against 5,247 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.06 (562 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.238. He has allowed 1,169 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 372 free passes.

The Royals have a slugging percentage of .403 and they are scoring 4.75 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have recorded 40 doubles, while taking a walk 74 times as well as putting up 114 runs. Kansas City has a total of 28 long balls on the campaign to go along with 106 RBIs. They have been rung up on 172 occasions (28th in baseball) and have earned 189 hits. The Kansas City Royals have earned an on-base percentage of .305 and a team batting average of .237 on the campaign.

The Royals are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.263 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.66 as a team this year. They come in at 19th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 194. The Kansas City pitching staff have given up 77 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.21 (76 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 7.40 (175 strikeouts against 75 bases on balls). They have conceded 15 HR's and they allow 3.25 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB).

Kansas City relievers have an inherited score percentage of 20.0% out of their 25 inherited runners. Their relievers have taken the field 29 times in high leverage situations and also on 13 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 21 save situations, the Royals have earned 12 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. They are ranked 6th in the league with a save rate of 77.8%, and they have sent 76 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Kansas City has had relievers enter the game in 9 save opportunities and they have come away with 7 saves.

The Kansas City Royals have gotten 20 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in professional baseball). The Royals have recorded 232 assists, 9 errors and have 639 putouts on the campaign. In 1,917 innings on the diamond, the Royals have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (14th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Ragans has surrendered 143 hits while he has earned 173 strikeouts in 161 innings pitched. He has allowed 71 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.286 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.70 and he has faced 678 opposing hitters during his pro baseball career. Ragans (7-10 win-loss mark in his career) has a 3.97 ERA while surrendering 8.0 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Toronto (-110)

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