Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, August 28, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (+118) Boston (-141)

The Toronto Blue Jays (65-68) are headed to Fenway Park on Wednesday where they will meet the Boston Red Sox (67-64). The moneyline on this game has the Blue Jays at +118 and the Red Sox are coming in at -141. The over/under is set at O9.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Chris Bassitt and Brayan Bello.

The Blue Jays have recorded 232 doubles as a squad and have hit 134 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging % of .392 and have struck out 1,007 times, while taking a walk on 426 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in MLB. They have earned 536 runs batted in and 1,059 base knocks this year, while their team batting average is .240. They have racked up 564 runs and hold an OBP of .313.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team ERA of 4.42 for the year (25th in the league), and the staff has rung up 1,093 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 182 home runs in addition to 624 runs in total (25th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 412 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.52 as a unit on the season. Toronto has given up 1,098 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 576 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.65 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.29.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 128 times and also have had 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 71 holds for the year (13th in MLB). The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 69.4% and has come into the game in 123 save situations. They have earned 34 saves for the year and have not converted 15 of their 49 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 201 runners this season and 31.8% of those runners crossed the plate. The Blue Jays have sent 445 relievers to the mound on the season.

The Blue Jays have converted 70.3% of balls in play into outs out of 10,551 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 13th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have accounted for 3,517 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,106 assists and 76 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which puts them in 24th in pro baseball, and have 100 double plays.

Bassitt (71-54 career mark) has a FIP of 3.56 and he has gone up against 4,548 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 980 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 343 free passes. His ERA is 3.61 (434 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.223. Bassitt has pitched in 1,081 innings and has earned 997 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .438 and they average 4.89 runs per game (5th in the league). They have 263 doubles, while getting a free base 410 times and scoring 640 runs. Boston has accumulated 166 long balls this season and 616 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,274 occasions (3rd in the league) and have earned 1,183 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have an on-base percentage of .326 and a team batting average of .259 so far this season.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.267 in addition to having a FIP of 4.17 as a team for the season. They rank 25th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 1,125. The Boston pitching staff have given up 634 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 4.20 (549 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.50 (1,109 strikeouts against 366 bases on balls). They have relinquished 163 dingers and they allow 4.85 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

With 134 save situations, the Red Sox have tallied 71 holds in addition to 27 blown saves. Boston has had relievers enter the game in 59 save opportunities and they have converted 32 saves. Their relievers have come in 154 times in high leverage situations in addition to 130 occasions with runners on. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of 181 inherited base runners. They sit at 28th in MLB holding a save rate of 54.2%, and they have dispatched 423 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

In 10,599 innings played, the Red Sox hold a efficiency on defense of 69.0% (22nd in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have turned 91 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (30th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 1,153 assists, 98 errors and have earned a total of 3,533 putouts on the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 374 base hits while he has totaled 309 K's in 344 innings pitched. Bello (25-25 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.58 earned run average while giving up 9.8 hits per 9 innings. He has conceded 175 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.446 and having a FIP of 4.5. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.51 and he has faced 1,502 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston (-141)

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