Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 9/11/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Wednesday, September 11, 2024

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+142) Philadelphia (-172)

Citizens Bank Park is the site where the Philadelphia Phillies (86-58) will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (71-73) on Wednesday. The line on this matchup has the Rays at +142 and the Phillies are coming in at -172. The total comes in at 7.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Shane Baz and Zack Wheeler.

Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .368 and have been called out on strikes 1,325 times, while taking a walk on 455 occasions. They have 516 runs batted in in addition to 1,108 hits for the year, and their batting average is at .231. The Rays have accumulated 225 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 132 baseballs out of the park. They have a total of 555 runs and have an on-base percentage of .305. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 28th in the league.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 3.01 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.23. Rays pitchers have surrendered 184 home runs and also 611 runs (12th in baseball). Tampa Bay has given up 1,167 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 554 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.88 for the year (11th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,233 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 409 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.21 as a unit so far this year.

The Rays have sent 486 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 163 runners for the season and 23.3% of them ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 44 saves on the campaign and have blown 20 of their 64 save chances. The Rays relief pitchers have a save rate of 68.8% and has come into the game in 158 save situations. The relievers have tallied 92 holds over the course of the season (6th in the league). Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 112 times as well as having 180 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 11,580 innings, which has them sitting 8th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 3,860 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,132 assists and 79 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in baseball, and have earned 101 double plays.

Baz (5-5 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.54 while going up against 394 batters in the majors. He has given up 78 base knocks (7.4 hits per nine innings) and has 35 walks. His ERA is 3.60 (38 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.188. Baz has taken the mound for 95 innings and has tallied 94 K's during his career.

Philadelphia has tallied 173 home runs this season to go along with 671 runs batted in. They have tallied 255 two-baggers, while getting a free base 470 times and earning 702 runs. The Philadelphia Phillies have recorded an OBP of .328 and a team batting average of .259 on the campaign. The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .424 and they are scoring 4.88 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,203 occasions (18th in the league) and are sitting with 1,279 base hits.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.210 with a FIP of 3.83 as a pitching staff on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.90 (1,274 strikeouts vs 383 bases on balls). They rank 16th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,174. They have surrendered 160 homers and they give up 4.08 runs per 9 innings (6th in the league). The Philadelphia pitching staff have conceded 584 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 3.72 (532 earned runs relinquished).

Philadelphia bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 34.8% out of their 115 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 151 times in high leverage situations in addition to 85 occasions with runners on. With 123 save situations, the Phillies have tallied 69 holds and also 19 blown saves. They rank 13th in MLB holding a save rate of 64.2%, and they have sent 459 relievers onto the diamond so far this season. Philadelphia has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 53 save chances and they have converted 34 saves.

In their 11,586 innings played, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 69.5% (18th in professional baseball). The Philadelphia Phillies have turned 110 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (16th in MLB). The Phillies have 1,309 assists, 78 errors and have earned 3,862 putouts for the season.

So far in his career, Wheeler has given up 1,350 hits and he has 1,591 K's in 1,552 innings pitched. Wheeler (101-69 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.35 earned run average and has conceded 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has given up 578 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.160 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.53 and he has gone up against 6,400 batters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-172)

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