Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 4/21/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, April 21, 2024

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+130) New York (-160)

Yankee Stadium is where the New York Yankees (13-6) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (11-9) on Sunday. The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +130 and New York is priced at -160. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Aaron Civale and Luis Gil.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.2 runs per contest, which ranks them 19th in the league. They have racked up 84 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .306. The Rays have accounted for 26 doubles as a squad and have hit 17 baseballs out of the park. They have accumulated 76 runs batted in as well as 161 base knocks for the year, and their batting average is at .241. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .363 and have been called out on strikes 170 times, while taking a walk on 54 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.39. Rays pitchers have relinquished 29 long balls in addition to 101 runs in total (27th in the league). Tampa Bay has given up 180 hits (8.9 per 9 innings) and also 95 earned runs. The Rays have an ERA of 4.69 this year (26th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 180 hitters. They have walked 74 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 4.57 as a team this year.

The Rays have dispatched 65 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The relievers have inherited 25 base runners for the season with 20.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have earned 6 saves for the season and have missed out on 4 of 10 chances to get a save. The Rays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 60.0% and stepped onto the hill in 29 save situations. The relief pitchers have earned 18 holds this season (2nd in baseball). Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 16 times as well as having 27 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 68.7% of balls in play into outs in their 1,641 innings on the field, which has them sitting 22nd in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 547 putouts so far this season, as well as 145 assists and 8 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which ranks 5th in baseball, and they have turned 17 double plays.

Civale has taken the mound for 498 frames and is sitting with 454 punch outs so far in his career. Civale (33-27 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.02 while he has faced 2,037 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 3.86 (214 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.154. He has surrendered 453 base hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) with 122 free passes.

The Yankees hold a slugging % of .395 and they have an average of 4.74 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have 30 two-baggers, while getting a free base 92 times as well as recording 90 runs. New York has recorded 21 home runs so far this year to go along with 82 RBIs. They have struck out on 147 occasions (24th in MLB) and have recorded 155 hits. The New York Yankees have recorded an OBP of .343 and a team batting average of .247 on the season.

The New York pitching staff have given up 70 runs on the campaign while holding a team ERA of 3.12 (59 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 15 homers and they relinquish 3.70 runs per 9 innings (3rd in MLB). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.269 in addition to having a FIP of 4.08 as a squad for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 7.90 (150 strikeouts vs 77 walks). They are currently ranked 4th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 139.

Sitting with 23 save situations, the Yankees have earned 10 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 13 save chances and they have recorded 10 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 24 times in high leverage situations and on 23 occasions with runners on. New York relievers have an inherited score percentage of 54.5% out of their 33 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in baseball with a save rate of 76.9%, and they have sent 59 relief pitchers onto the field on the season.

In their 1,536 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.5% (5th in the majors). The New York Yankees have turned 16 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .977 (28th in pro baseball). The Yankees have recorded 177 assists, 16 errors and have earned a total of 512 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Gil has given up 31 hits while totaling 63 strikeouts in 47 frames. Gil (1-2 career mark) holds a 3.80 earned run average and has conceded 5.9 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 20 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.394 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.80 and he has faced 209 opposing hitters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take New York (-160) and under 8.5 runs

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