Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 5/1/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Wednesday, May 1, 2024

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: Bally Sports Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+116) Milwaukee (-136)

American Family Field is where the Milwaukee Brewers (17-11) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (14-16) on Wednesday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +116 and the Brewers are coming in at -136. The over/under is 7.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Zach Eflin and Colin Rea.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 3.9 runs/g, which puts them at 22nd in MLB. They have earned 117 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .306. The Rays have recorded 40 doubles as a unit and have knocked 25 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 106 runs batted in as well as 246 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is at .243. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .361 and have struck out 270 times, while drawing a walk on 79 occasions.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 4.41 this season (24th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 267 batters. Rays pitchers have surrendered 39 home runs and also 148 total runs (25th in MLB). They have walked 94 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.22 as a unit for the season. Tampa Bay has surrendered 259 base hits (8.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 132 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.31.

Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 22 times in addition to having 43 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 23 holds for the season (3rd in the league). The Rays relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 52.9% and has entered the game in 41 save situations. They have 9 saves for the year and have blown 8 out of their 17 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 32 base runners on the campaign with 21.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have sent 94 relief pitchers to the mound on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 809 putouts on the campaign, as well as 221 assists and 15 errors. Their fielding rate is at .986 which is 11th in professional baseball, and they have turned 21 double plays. The Rays have turned 69.1% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,427 innings on the diamond, which has them ranked 22nd in the majors.

Eflin (12-23 mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.62 and he has gone up against 1,552 opposing hitters in the majors. He has surrendered 390 hits (9.6 hits per nine innings) with 81 free passes. His earned run average is 4.40 (179 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.287. Eflin has taken the mound for 366 innings and has accounted for 293 strikeouts during his career.

The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .415 and they average 5.07 runs per game (7th in baseball). They have put up 45 doubles, while taking a walk 107 times and putting up 142 runs. Milwaukee has tallied 35 long balls so far this year to go along with 134 RBIs. They have struck out on 261 instances (11th in the league) and have accounted for 249 base hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have an on-base percentage of .336 as well as a batting average of .255 this season.

The Brewers have a WHIP of 1.339 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.48 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.00 (223 strikeouts vs 101 walks). They rank 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits given up with 235. They have yielded 34 homers and they relinquish 4.63 runs per 9 innings (22nd in the league). The Milwaukee pitching staff have allowed 129 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.16 (116 earned runs relinquished).

Milwaukee bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.7% out of 41 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 35 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with base runners. With 30 save situations, the Brewers have accrued 16 holds and also 4 blown saves. They are currently ranked 10th in the league holding a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have sent 94 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. Milwaukee has had relief pitchers enter the game in 14 save chances and they have earned 10 saves.

Out of their 2,259 innings played, the Brewers have a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in professional baseball). The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 19 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (10th in baseball). The Brewers have recorded 241 assists, 14 errors and have a tally of 753 putouts during this campaign.

Rea (44-27 record in his career) has earned a 3.80 ERA while conceding 6.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and he has faced 2,519 batters in his career. He has allowed a total of 257 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.118 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. So far in his MLB career, Rea has allowed 446 hits while earning 787 punch outs in 609 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-136)

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