Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/29/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, September 29, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (80-79) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (78-81) on Sunday. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Pepiot and Tanner Houck.

Tampa Bay is slugging .368 and have been called out on strikes 1,463 times, while drawing a walk on 485 occasions. They have amassed 554 runs batted in as well as 1,218 base knocks on the year, while their average at the plate comes in at .230. The Rays have hit 244 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 146 baseballs out of the stadium. They are sitting with 594 runs while holding a team OBP of .302. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 3.7 runs per game, which has them at 29th in the league.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.13 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21. Rays pitchers have given up 195 home runs in addition to 657 runs (11th in MLB). Tampa Bay has conceded 1,268 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) in addition to 599 earned runs. The Rays have an earned run average of 3.81 so far this season (10th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 1,378 batters. They have walked 440 batters and their FIP is 4.08 as a team on the campaign.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 125 times as well as having 202 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 110 holds over the course of the season (2nd in the league). The Rays relievers have a save percentage of 69.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 184 save situations. They have accumulated 50 saves so far this season and have not converted 22 out of their 72 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 183 runners on the year and 23.5% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 534 relief pitchers to the mound for the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 4,244 putouts thus far, as well as 1,234 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which is 20th in the majors, and have a total of 105 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.6% of baseballs in play into outs in their 12,732 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 7th in baseball.

Pepiot has pitched in 204 frames and has earned 217 K's in his career. His earned run average is 3.31 (75 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.122. He has allowed 151 base hits (6.7 hits per 9 innings) and has had 78 free passes. Pepiot (13-8 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.26 while he has gone up against 840 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

Boston has accumulated 193 long balls on the season as well as 719 RBIs. They have hit 307 doubles, while getting a free base 488 times and scoring 745 runs. The Boston Red Sox hold an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .253 for the year. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .425 and they are earning 4.69 runs per contest (9th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,542 occasions (3rd in the league) and have 1,386 base knocks.

The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 737 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.05 (642 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 188 homers and they surrender 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.258 in addition to having a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff this year. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (1,331 strikeouts vs 453 walks). They rank 23rd in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,340.

Boston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of 223 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 190 times in high leverage situations and on 161 occasions with base runners. With 158 save situations, the Red Sox have earned 84 holds and also 31 blown saves. They rank 28th in the league with a save percentage of 55.7%, and they have dispatched 523 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. Boston has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 70 save chances and they have earned 39 saves.

In 12,831 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (21st in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 115 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have accrued 1,420 assists, 112 errors and have earned 4,277 putouts so far this season.

Houck (24-29 career record) has earned a 3.56 ERA while giving up 7.8 hits per nine innings. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.96 and he has faced 1,801 hitters so far in his career. He has given up 170 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.192 and having a FIP of 3.5. During his career, Houck has conceded 372 hits while earning 417 punch outs in 430 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston

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