Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 9/28/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, September 28, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Fenway Park is the site where the Boston Red Sox (80-79) will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (78-80) on Saturday. The expected starting pitchers will be Shane Baz and Kutter Crawford.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 3.7 runs/g, which puts them at 29th in the league. They have racked up 591 runs and have an on-base percentage of .303. The Rays have recorded 243 doubles as a team and have knocked 146 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 552 runs batted in as well as 1,211 base knocks over the course of the season, and their batting average sits at .230. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .368 and have struck out 1,454 times, while taking a walk on 485 occasions.

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The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.81 so far this season (10th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,368 batters. Rays pitchers have given up 195 long balls in addition to 653 total runs (11th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 438 batters and their FIP sits at 4.09 as a team on the season. Tampa Bay has conceded 1,260 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 595 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.12 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.21.

Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 125 times in addition to having 200 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have earned 108 holds on the campaign (3rd in baseball). The Rays bullpen have recorded a save rate of 70.4% and has stepped onto the mound in 181 save situations. They have compiled 50 saves this season and have not converted 21 of their 71 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 183 runners this year and 23.5% of them earned a run for their team. The Rays have sent 531 relief pitchers to the hill for the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 4,220 putouts this year, as well as 1,232 assists and 87 errors. Their fielding rate is at .984 which has them ranked 20th in MLB, and have a total of 105 double plays. The Rays have converted 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,660 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in pro baseball.

Baz (6-5 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.37 and he has faced 462 hitters in the majors. He has given up 87 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 38 free passes. His ERA is 3.42 (43 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.104. Baz has taken the ball for 113 innings and has accounted for 110 K's in his career.

Boston has 193 home runs on the campaign as well as 719 runs batted in. They have hit 307 two-baggers, while taking a walk 488 times as well as putting up 745 runs. The Boston Red Sox have recorded an OBP of .320 as well as a batting average of .253 for the season. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .425 and they are scoring 4.69 runs per contest (9th in baseball). They have been called out on strikes on 1,542 instances (3rd in MLB) and are sitting with 1,386 hits.

The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.258 and have a FIP of 4.12 as a pitching staff on the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (1,331 strikeouts vs 453 free passes). They rank 24th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,340. They have given up 188 dingers and they yield 4.65 runs per 9 innings (22nd in baseball). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 737 runs this season while holding a team ERA of 4.05 (642 earned runs surrendered).

Boston relievers hold an inherited score rate of 34.1% out of their 223 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 190 times in high leverage situations and on 161 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 158 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 84 holds in addition to 31 blown saves. They rank 28th in the league holding a save percentage of 55.7%, and they have dispatched 523 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond this season. Boston has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 70 save opportunities and they have walked away with 39 saves.

In 12,831 innings played, the Red Sox are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 69.3% (21st in pro baseball). The Boston Red Sox have turned 115 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have recorded 1,420 assists, 112 errors and are sitting with 4,277 putouts over the course of the season.

During his MLB career, Crawford has allowed 343 hits and he has 383 strikeouts in 387 innings. Crawford (18-30 record in his career) has a 4.48 earned run average and has surrendered 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 193 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.180 and a FIP of 4.4. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.36 and he has faced 1,611 opposing batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Boston

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