Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/14/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Tuesday, May 14, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+112) Boston (-132)

The Tampa Bay Rays (20-21) are en route to Fenway Park on Tuesday where they will meet the Boston Red Sox (21-19). The line on this contest has Tampa Bay at +112 and Boston is at -132. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Aaron Civale and Nick Pivetta.

As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 4.1 runs per outing, which is 20th in the league. They have earned 167 runs scored and have an OBP of .316. The Rays have accrued 57 doubles as a team and have knocked 35 baseballs out of the park. They have compiled 153 RBI's and 332 base knocks for the season, while their batting average sits at .244. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .369 and have been called out on strikes 362 times, while being walked on 128 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.73 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.30. Rays pitchers have conceded 54 long balls and 199 runs in total (25th in MLB). Tampa Bay has given up 350 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 181 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.43 on the year (23rd in the league), and they have rung up 350 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 128 hitters and their FIP is 4.32 as a unit so far this season.

The Rays have dispatched 128 relievers to the hill this year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 48 base runners this season with 22.9% of those runners earned a run for their team. They have accumulated 11 saves on the season and have missed out on 8 of their 19 save chances. The Rays relievers have accumulated a save rate of 57.9% and has stepped onto the mound in 47 save situations. The relief pitchers have notched 27 holds on the season (9th in the league). Rays pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 32 times in addition to having 52 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 1,103 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 306 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .983 which puts them in 19th in pro baseball, and they have turned 27 double plays. The Rays have converted 69.7% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,309 innings, ranking them 19th in baseball.

Civale has taken the mound for 516 frames and has accounted for 471 K's during his MLB career. Civale (33-29 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.04 while he has faced 2,127 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.08 (234 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.181. He has given up 480 base hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 130 free passes.

The Boston Red Sox have recorded a team OBP of .317 in addition to a team batting average of .243 on the campaign. They have been called out on strikes on 396 instances (2nd in baseball) and have accounted for 331 base knocks. Boston has accumulated 39 home runs on the year and 165 RBIs. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .398 and they earn 4.30 runs per contest (16th in MLB). They have recorded 73 two-baggers, while taking a walk 132 times as well as putting up 172 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 139 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 2.75 (109 earned runs relinquished). They have allowed 33 dingers and they allow 3.50 runs per 9 innings (2nd in MLB). The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.106 and have a FIP of 3.51 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (330 strikeouts against 101 bases on balls). They come in at 6th in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 294.

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% of 35 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 47 times in high leverage situations and also on 28 occasions with runners on. With 39 save situations, the Red Sox have compiled 21 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They are ranked 22nd in the league with a save percentage of 58.8%, and they have sent 127 relief pitchers onto the diamond on the campaign. Boston has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 17 save chances and they have walked away with 10 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 29 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .979 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 359 assists, 30 errors and have earned 1,072 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 3,216 innings played, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in professional baseball).

In his career, Pivetta has allowed 865 base hits and he has 981 punch outs in 898 innings. Pivetta (51-61 mark in his career) holds a 4.84 earned run average and has surrendered 8.7 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 483 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.344 and having a FIP of 4.4. His K/BB ratio is 2.86 and he has gone up against 3,851 opposing hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-132) and under 8.5 runs

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