Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 5/13/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Monday, May 13, 2024

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: Bally Sports Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+112) Boston (-132)

The Boston Red Sox (21-19) are welcoming the Tampa Bay Rays (20-21) at Fenway Park on Monday. The line on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +112 and Boston is sitting at -132. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers are Zach Eflin and Kutter Crawford.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.0 runs per game, which puts them at 21st in the league. They have accumulated 161 runs scored and hold an OBP of .315. The Rays have accrued 55 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 33 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 147 runs batted in as well as 324 base knocks over the course of the season, while their team batting average is at .244. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .366 and have been called out on strikes 354 times, while drawing a walk on 123 occasions.

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The Rays have a team ERA of 4.29 on the season (22nd in the league), and they have rung up 346 batters. Rays pitchers have allowed 49 long balls and 189 runs in total (22nd in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 125 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.18 as a squad this year. Tampa Bay has allowed 339 base hits (8.5 per 9 innings) in addition to 171 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.77 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.30.

Rays pitchers have come into the game with players on base 32 times and also have had 52 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 27 holds this season (8th in MLB). The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 57.9% and has come into the game in 47 save situations. They have earned 11 saves on the campaign and have blown 8 of 19 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 48 base runners on the season and 22.9% of them ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have dispatched 126 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 1,076 putouts thus far, as well as 297 assists and 24 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .983 which puts them in 23rd in the majors, and have 26 double plays. The Rays have turned 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs in their 3,228 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 20th in MLB.

Eflin (54-57 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.06 and he has gone up against 3,708 opposing batters in the major leagues. He has given up 902 hits (9.2 hits per 9 innings) with 188 free passes. His ERA is 4.25 (418 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.232. Eflin has pitched in 885 innings and has earned 777 strikeouts during his MLB career.

The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they score 4.33 runs per game (14th in the league). They have tallied 70 doubles, while taking a walk 130 times and notching 169 runs. Boston has compiled 39 home runs on the year and 163 RBIs. They have been rung up on 385 instances (3rd in the league) and have recorded 324 base hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned a team on-base percentage of .318 and a batting average of .244 this year.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.109 and have a FIP of 3.47 as a pitching staff for the season. They rank 7th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 289. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 137 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 2.77 (107 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.40 (327 strikeouts against 97 walks). They have allowed 32 home runs and they yield 3.54 runs per 9 innings (3rd in baseball).

Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 16 save chances and they have walked away with 9 saves. They are ranked 24th in the league with a save percentage of 56.3%, and they have sent 123 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relievers have taken the field 44 times in high leverage situations and on 28 occasions with runners on base. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of their 35 inherited base runners. Sitting with 35 save situations, the Red Sox have 18 holds and 7 blown saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 29 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have accrued 343 assists, 29 errors and have a total of 1,045 putouts for the year. In their 3,135 innings on the field, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.0% (9th in pro baseball).

Crawford (11-16 career mark) has a 4.20 ERA and has allowed 8.0 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.17 and he has faced 1,063 batters in his MLB career. He has allowed 119 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.216 and having a FIP of 3.9. In his MLB career, Crawford has surrendered 228 hits and he has 260 strikeouts in 255 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Boston (-132) and under 8.5 runs

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