Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 9/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, September 7, 2024

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: Bally Sports Sun

The Baltimore Orioles (81-60) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (69-70) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The starting pitchers are Ryan Pepiot and Zach Eflin.

The Rays have tallied 221 two-baggers as a team and have hit 128 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay is slugging .369 and have struck out 1,277 times, while taking a walk on 443 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 3.9 runs per outing, which is 28th in the league. They have accumulated 505 RBI's as well as 1,069 hits so far this year, while their average at the plate is .231. They have racked up 542 runs while holding a team OBP of .306.

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The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.95 over the course of the season (13th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 1,192 batters. Rays pitchers have surrendered 179 home runs and 602 runs (13th in baseball). They have walked 393 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.23 as a unit so far this year. Tampa Bay has surrendered 1,140 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 546 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.03 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.23.

Rays bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 110 times in addition to having 176 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 88 holds on the season (7th in baseball). The Rays bullpen have a save percentage of 68.3% and stepped onto the hill in 153 save situations. They have recorded 43 saves for the season and have not converted 20 of 63 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 160 runners so far this year with 23.8% of them ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 470 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 3,729 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,093 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .985 which puts them in 22nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 97 double plays. The Rays have transformed 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,187 innings, which has them sitting at 8th in MLB.

Pepiot (12-7 career win-loss record) is the owner of a FIP of 3.30 while going up against 761 opposing batters in the majors. He has given up 136 hits (6.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 70 free passes. His ERA is 3.35 (69 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.112. Pepiot has taken the hill for 185 frames and has totaled 194 strikeouts in his career.

The Baltimore Orioles have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .318 and a team batting average of .252 this season. They have been rung up on 1,166 occasions (18th in the league) and have accounted for 1,221 base hits. Baltimore is sitting with 209 home runs so far this season as well as 680 RBIs. The Orioles hold a team slugging percentage of .443 and they have an average of 5.01 runs per game (3rd in MLB). They have 235 doubles, while getting a free base 427 times and racking up 707 runs.

The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.237 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.92 as a squad so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.50 (1,187 strikeouts vs 414 bases on balls). They rank 16th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,139. They have yielded 147 dingers and they yield 4.36 runs per 9 innings (14th in MLB). The Baltimore pitching staff have yielded 608 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.93 (548 earned runs conceded).

With 161 save situations, the Orioles have tallied 99 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. Baltimore has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 61 save chances and they have converted 42 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 140 times in high leverage situations and also on 147 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.8% out of their 211 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 4th in the league holding a save rate of 68.9%, and they have sent 469 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season.

In 11,301 innings on the diamond, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (14th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 83 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (11th in professional baseball). The Orioles have racked up 1,180 assists, 71 errors and have amassed 3,767 putouts so far this season.

Eflin (62-60 career record) has a 4.19 earned run average and has allowed 9.2 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.30 and he has gone up against 4,095 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 455 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.222 and having a FIP of 4.1. In his career, Eflin has surrendered 995 hits while he has earned 859 strikeouts in 978 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore

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