Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/16/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Sunday, June 16, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Truist Park is where the Atlanta Braves (36-30) will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (33-36) on Sunday. The pitchers who are expected to start are Zach Eflin and Max Fried.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which has them at 26th in the league. They have a total of 266 runs and hold an OBP of .305. The Rays have compiled 100 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 53 balls out of the park. They have compiled 246 RBI's in addition to 534 base knocks on the season, while their average at the plate is at .232. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .351 and have struck out 622 times, while drawing a walk on 212 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Expert Picks

The Rays hold a team ERA of 4.31 this year (24th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 598 hitters. Rays pitchers have allowed 91 home runs in addition to 328 total runs (24th in the league). They have walked 192 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a team on the season. Tampa Bay has given up 597 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) in addition to 299 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.11 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.27.

Rays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on 55 times in addition to having 99 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have recorded 41 holds on the season (11th in baseball). The Rays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 61.8% and has come into the game in 77 save situations. They have earned 21 saves on the season and have blown 13 of their 34 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 78 base runners for the year with 32.1% of them crossed home plate. The Rays have sent 230 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Rays have converted 69.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 5,613 innings, which has them sitting 17th in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 1,871 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 523 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .986 which ranks 12th in professional baseball, and they have turned 46 double plays.

Eflin has taken the mound for 904 innings and has earned 788 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Eflin (55-57 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.21 while he has faced 3,793 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.27 (429 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.234. He has conceded 927 hits (9.2 hits per nine innings) with 188 free passes.

The Atlanta Braves have accumulated an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .243 for the year. They have been called out on strikes on 573 occasions (14th in baseball) and have earned a total of 545 hits. Atlanta has hit 66 long balls for the year as well as 273 RBIs. The Braves hold a slugging percentage of .397 and they earn 4.35 runs per game (14th in baseball). They have recorded 132 doubles, while taking a walk 192 times and earning 287 runs.

The Atlanta pitching staff have conceded 259 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.69 (240 earned runs conceded). They have allowed 60 homers and they surrender 3.98 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.227 in addition to having a FIP of 3.62 as a team for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (575 strikeouts vs 189 bases on balls). They are sitting at 8th in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 529.

Atlanta bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 32.8% out of their 58 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 62 times in high leverage situations and also on 44 occasions with base runners. With 62 save situations, the Braves have tallied 32 holds and 11 blown saves. They sit at 14th in MLB with a save rate of 63.3%, and they have sent 197 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the year. Atlanta has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have tallied 19 saves.

The Atlanta Braves have turned 54 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (2nd in pro baseball). The Braves have racked up 605 assists, 30 errors and have amassed 1,755 putouts so far this season. In 5,265 innings on the field, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (22nd in pro baseball).

Fried (68-29 mark in his career) has earned a 3.05 ERA while giving up 8.0 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.60 and he has faced 3,213 batters so far in his MLB career. He has surrendered 267 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.154 and having a FIP of 3.0. Thus far in his career, Fried has allowed 696 hits while he has tallied 767 K's in 788 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here