Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 6/15/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, June 15, 2024

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: Bally Sports South

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+160) Atlanta (-190)

The Atlanta Braves (36-30) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (33-36) at Truist Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at +160 and the Braves are priced at -190. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Pepiot and Charlie Morton.

The Rays have tallied 100 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 53 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay is slugging .351 and have struck out 622 times, while taking a walk on 212 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are recording 3.9 runs per game, which puts them at 26th in MLB. They have tallied 246 RBI's as well as 534 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average sits at .232. They have accounted for 266 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 4.31 on the season (24th in the league), and the staff has rung up 598 batters. Rays pitchers have given up 91 home runs and 328 total runs (24th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 192 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.21 as a team on the campaign. Tampa Bay has surrendered 597 base hits (8.6 per 9 innings) and 299 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 3.11 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Rays have sent 230 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have inherited 78 base runners over the course of the season with 32.1% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 21 saves on the season and have blown 13 of their 34 chances to save the game. The Rays bullpen have earned a save rate of 61.8% and stepped onto the hill in 77 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 41 holds on the season (11th in baseball). Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 55 times as well as having 99 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have turned 69.6% of balls in play into outs out of 5,613 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 17th in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 1,871 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 523 assists and 34 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them ranked 12th in MLB, and they have turned 46 double plays.

Pepiot (9-4 win-loss record in his career) has a FIP of 3.32 while facing 549 batters during his time in the majors. He has allowed 96 base hits (6.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 48 walks. His earned run average is 3.37 (51 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.057. Pepiot has pitched in 136 innings and has totaled 148 K's thus far in his career.

Atlanta has 66 home runs on the campaign as well as 273 runs batted in. They have recorded 132 doubles, while taking a walk 192 times and scoring 287 runs. The Atlanta Braves hold an on-base percentage of .309 as well as a team batting average of .243 on the year. The Braves hold a slugging % of .397 and they score 4.35 runs per outing (14th in the league). They have struck out on 573 occasions (14th in the league) and have a total of 545 hits.

The Braves have a team WHIP of 1.227 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.62 as a squad so far this year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.80 (575 strikeouts vs 189 free passes). They come in at 8th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 529. They have surrendered 60 dingers and they concede 3.98 runs per 9 innings (7th in MLB). The Atlanta pitching staff have yielded 259 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.69 (240 earned runs conceded).

Atlanta relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.8% out of their 58 inherited runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 62 times in high leverage situations and also on 44 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 62 save situations, the Braves have earned 32 holds and 11 blown saves. They are currently ranked 14th in baseball with a save percentage of 63.3%, and they have dispatched 197 relievers onto the field for the season. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 30 save opportunities and they have converted 19 saves.

In their 5,265 innings played, the Braves have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (22nd in professional baseball). The Atlanta Braves have gotten 54 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .987 (2nd in professional baseball). The Braves have recorded 605 assists, 30 errors and have notched a total of 1,755 putouts during this campaign.

So far in his career, Morton has surrendered 1,897 hits while he has accumulated 1,948 punch outs in 2,027 frames. Morton (133-116 career record) has earned a 4.00 ERA while surrendering 8.4 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered 902 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.306 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.9. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.60 and he has gone up against 8,684 batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Atlanta (-190)

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