St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 7/7/2024 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: St. Louis Cardinals vs Washington Nationals

Date: Sunday, July 7, 2024

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: St. Louis (+116) Washington (-136)

The St. Louis Cardinals (46-41) are hitting the road to Nationals Park on Sunday where they will play the Washington Nationals (41-47). The odds on this game have the Cardinals at +116 and the Nationals are coming in at -136. The total is 9.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kyle Gibson and DJ Herz.

The Cardinals have recorded 134 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 83 baseballs out of the stadium. St. Louis has a slugging rate of .379 and have been rung up 736 times, while being walked on 256 occasions. As a squad, the St. Louis Cardinals are scoring 4.0 runs per game, which ranks them 25th in MLB. They have accumulated 328 RBI's as well as 709 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .241. They have tallied 349 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .307.

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The Cardinals have a team earned run average of 3.86 on the year (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 719 batters. Cardinals pitchers have allowed 88 home runs and 385 total runs (16th in the league). They have walked 253 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.84 as a team so far this season. St. Louis has surrendered 720 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 333 earned runs. They have a K/BB ratio of 2.84 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.25.

The Cardinals bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 72.3% and has come into the game in 119 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 127 base runners on the season and 37.0% of those runners earned a run for their team. Cardinals bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 90 times as well as having 103 appearances in high leverage situations. The Cardinals have dispatched 280 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have a total of 72 holds so far this year (3rd in the league). They have recorded 34 saves so far this season and have missed out on 13 of their 47 save opportunities.

The St. Louis Cardinals have earned 2,332 putouts thus far, as well as 798 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .986 which has them sitting 14th in the majors, and they have turned 88 double plays. The Cardinals have transformed 69.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,996 innings, ranking them 20th in professional baseball.

Gibson has pitched in 1,788 innings and has earned 1,444 strikeouts in his MLB career. Gibson (110-103 mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.44 while he has faced 7,658 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.51 (896 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.371. He has given up 1,825 base knocks (9.2 hits per nine innings) and has 626 free passes.

The Washington Nationals have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .305 in addition to a batting average of .236 on the season. They have struck out on 673 occasions (25th in MLB) and have a total of 686 base hits. Washington has 72 long balls so far this season to go along with 344 RBIs. The Nationals have a slugging percentage of .365 and they average 4.14 runs per game (20th in the league). They have recorded 141 doubles, while getting a free base 257 times and scoring 364 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.262 and have a FIP of 3.77 as a pitching staff for the season. They are sitting at 24th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 748. The Washington pitching staff have yielded 384 runs so far this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.96 (344 earned runs given up). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (714 strikeouts vs 238 walks). They have allowed 86 home runs and they relinquish 4.42 runs per 9 innings (16th in the league).

Washington has had relief pitchers take the mound in 38 save chances and they have walked away with 24 saves. They are currently ranked 17th in baseball with a save rate of 63.2%, and they have dispatched 301 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Their relievers have taken the field 85 times in high leverage situations and on 79 occasions with runners on base. Washington relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 37.4% out of their 107 inherited runners. With 96 save situations, the Nationals have 58 holds and 14 blown saves.

The Washington Nationals have gotten 82 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (15th in the majors). The Nationals have recorded 776 assists, 46 errors and have accounted for 2,344 putouts so far this year. Out of their 7,032 innings on the diamond, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 68.7% (27th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Herz has surrendered 30 base hits while tallying 37 strikeouts in 27 frames. He has allowed a total of 14 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.370 and a FIP of 4.6. His K/BB ratio is 5.29 and he has gone up against 121 batters so far in his pro baseball career. Herz (1-2 career win-loss mark) has a 4.67 ERA while conceding 10.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Washington (-136) and under 9.5 runs

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